Paradox said..
All this was very predictable. The obscene stimulus policies employed by pretty much every gov around the world in response to covid combined with significant drop in productivity made it unavoidable. Print or borrow money and hand it out free at the rate we did and massive inflation follows. Combine that with a very slow response to increasing interest rates by central banks and bingo. Runaway inflation.
Some may remember even our Reserve Bank at the start if this year saying there will not be an interest rate hike until 2024. Make no mistake this was deliberate. Inflation is the governments best tool to reduce the massive trillion dollar debt we racked up by devaluing it. It's a hidden tax. Throw in the massive underspend on developing new fossil fuel supply over the last 10years and thats a double whammy.
This is all the result of government policy and poor planning.
Government poor planning? I doubt they had any idea what the results would be for a pandemic. No one else did, so why would they be any different?
We could have equally had a recession/depression or a boom economy. Who would be able to predict this?
If we had a new variant pop up today, that was extremely agressive and lethal, we could go backwards instantly. How would a government plan for that using whatever policy?
The RBA have a goal to allow a certain level of inflation and keep the money system stable. If you think 'the government' is trying to increase the level of inflation to reduce debt, you are dreaming. They don't even think that far ahead. Once one PM leaves office do you think he cares about what happens 20 years down the track?
The inflation figures would have been a surprise, but with 20/20 hindsight, pretty predictable. People feel comfortable and have money to spend, so things went up.