Hmm I just noticed that the el nino/la nina index seems to align with the polls with the labs being el nino likers and vice versa coalition (maybe this is where some of the libs got the nickname "wets " from .if this turns out to be a cracking el nino event then we could see an election at its likely peak around march (if they do indeed align and the lab number crunchers see the correlation )with opportunity lost and maybe another hung parliament if they hang on as the index returns to neutral around april may and a loss beyond that perhaps if the index swings to la nina .

I think there might be a correlation between La Nina (increased chance of wet weather) and support for climate change denial vs El Nino (increased chance of drought / hot weather) and support for action on climate change.
But probably stronger is the effect of wall to wall liberal (or labor) state governments and people turning against them.

My prediction (while the crystal ball is out) is either
1. the liberals will persist with Abbott - win by a narrower margin than seems likely today and within months make the Gillard government seem like the golden days of rational thought and kept promises
or
2. they will realise he's a stinker and get Malcolm Turnbull back and win in a landslide, and probably form a reasonable government
3. Some absolutely nobodies will front up for the democrats (who still exist but seem to have no candidates) and win in a landslide because everyone is sick to death of Liberal, Labor, National and the Greens party.