what climate change means for australia

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Gestalt
Gestalt
QLD
14968 posts
beastsurf
beastsurf
WA
902 posts
WA, 902 posts
14 Nov 2008 10:36am
I am a believer in climate change. I was wondering if the water levels are about to rise dramatically or if they have already started.
landyacht
landyacht
WA
5921 posts
WA, 5921 posts
14 Nov 2008 7:35pm
Saltier,dryer salt lakes ,stronger desert winds, I shall start my guilt trip now, Lake Lefroy just gets better and better as it all dries up for longer periods.
I have applied for an 18 panel solar array on my roof as compensation for the gift from the planet.
macdaddiey
macdaddiey
NSW
14 posts
NSW, 14 posts
17 Nov 2008 10:25pm
if water does rise there will be more space to kiteboard around the town and streets so its all good, go global warming
Dawn Patrol
Dawn Patrol
WA
1991 posts
WA, 1991 posts
17 Nov 2008 9:50pm
I can't read the article. But i suppose it says we are all doomed.
Nothing has really been done about it yet...
The way i see it is that nuclear power is the only reasonable source of green power at the moment.


Ps. About rising water levels. It makes not difference if the whole Arctic melts. The sea levels won't rise. It's if/when greenland (or is it iceland? That big ice country near the top) melts we need to worry.
dism
dism
NSW
660 posts
NSW, 660 posts
18 Nov 2008 1:54am
Dawn Patrol said...

.
The way i see it is that nuclear power is the only reasonable source of green power at the moment.


Ha, I think you are uninformed

So a few things why nuclear isn't 'green':
-You have to dig uranium out of a mine, using diesel trucks (like coal mining)
- You need to process and enrich the uranium (more diesel/coal etc)
- Then you have to get rid of poisonous/carcinogenic material that lasts for like millenia somehow (wasting environmental space, even if done 'safely')
- You have to build a huge reactor, alot of energy to build it, the break even for the energy expenditure to build it and mine/process fuel (uranium) is long too

I'm worried about what a few centimetres of ocean rise will do to reef breaks, and the fact that many species are already living on the extremes of their temperature thresholds, without the ability to relocate to different climes, they will perish (goodbye habitat, goodbye animals and plants), a large percentage of natives too
Dawn Patrol
Dawn Patrol
WA
1991 posts
WA, 1991 posts
18 Nov 2008 12:09am
Apart from the getting the uranium (which australia has lots of) and transporting it/refining. There are no CO2 emissions. And coal has all of these things done as well.
Nuclear power also produces less radiation than coal power plants.
Also, it takes 17ton of coal to produce the power that 1ton of uranium does, so much less travelling is needed for the same amount of energy.
They had to also build coal power stations at some stage, and they are continuing to build more. And the current plan is the retro fit the current coal stations with geosequestration thingys. Which would also be hugely expensive/complex to build. And they are over 20years away. (meaning, they aren't even designed yet).
We need a solution now, and nothing else is ready. Nuclear power is proven. It's safe, it's reliable, and it is clean. The only problem is hte waste. But i recon a really deep hole (>10km) would be sufficient. The stuff thats down there now is already radioactive.

I worked out that a complete substitute of our current coal plants in the year 2020 would save us 286,105,804 tonnes of CO2 per year.Thats factoring in the need of more power every year. And accounting for the different CO2 outputs of black and brown coal. Also assuming no advance in coal burning technology.

Thats my reasoning.
Solar is rubbish, wind would be a gigantic mission (i have some numbers on that).
The only other power i think would be good is geothermal, but still not as good as nuclear.

They are also developing nuclear fission. Which would be awesome. No waste, no emissions, massive amounts of power for very little amounts of H3 (one of the most abundant molecules in the universe).
dism
dism
NSW
660 posts
NSW, 660 posts
18 Nov 2008 2:21am
Nice stats, but you said "nuclear is the only green energy source atm"

How is nuclear waste 'green'?

How is substituting one enviromental problem caused by poor energy choices with another progress?

Will humanity continue to use poor technologies until the 'next big environmental crisis' cannot be 'cured' by humans?

Is nuclear waste is 'green' shall we bury it under you vegie patch? Or is it okay, because it will be under someone elses vegie patch (but not if your the somone else)?

How is stuff that is 10kn down radioactive?

Aus has lots of uranium, near places like kakadu, lets mine all of it, that wont have other (less currently media important) environmental isssues will it?

Saying 'nuclear has no CO2 emmissions' after you say you need to use diesel to mine it is contradictory

Nuclear power is safe, just ask the ex-residents of Chernoble (sp?)!

Clean is not mining using carbon energies to fuel machines

Do we need a solution NOW, or the right solution SOON?

What about tidal, wave, hydro, biofuels (the waste materials not the grown purposely ones) for other renewables?

So we need one 'silver bullit' technology, or would it be smarter to have a swathe?

How is solar rubbish? More solar energy falls on mine sites then is taken out it (per year)

Shall we wait for nuclear fission then?

Just posing questions.
Dawn Patrol
Dawn Patrol
WA
1991 posts
WA, 1991 posts
18 Nov 2008 12:36am
Stuff in the earth has to be radioactive. Thats why geothermal energy in australia would be good. Because radiation heats the rocks 5km down.
It also has to be radioactive because many materials have half lifes of millions of years.
I personally wouldn't mind Australia burrying OUR OWN waste, deep underground. Once it is proven to be safe. I would also happily live next door to a powerplant if i had to. Apart from the fact it's ugly, it wouldn't bother me much. But coal stations are also ugly. And i wouldn't live next to one of them.

Chernoble was a major stuff up. The russians were told that it would cause it to go pear shaped, yet they did the experiment anyway. And as far as i can remember noone actually died immediately from the accident, apart from 2 people that screwed up.But ongoing effects are a problem, but a reactor that is operated properly won't have a problem like that.

And at the moment there is no form of energy that is "clean". Because mineral mining, and construction is needed for it all. But that is likely to improve with the construction of electric vehicles, that can run off nuclear power. (electrical vehicles now are pointless. Just using the fossil fuel elsewhere).

Solar is rubbish because to power australia we would need 500km^2 of solar panels. That is not going to happen. And night time is a problem they are also yet to solve. We only get 1000Wm-2 of sunlight on a good day near the equator. It's not that much really.

Tidal, wave and hydro power probably have their place. But i doubt they will be able to create the power from a reasonably sized machine to run the country. I don't know enough about biofuel, but i can't imagine burning that being very good for the atmosphere.
Oh well bed time. Exam on this tomorrow. Thanks for the revision


Ps, by only green source, i meant the only one ready to go. Nothing else is good enough yet to completely take over power production.
dism
dism
NSW
660 posts
NSW, 660 posts
18 Nov 2008 4:01am
No, exams are Wed. haha, can agree on anything!

There is radioactive ground, then there is uranium (enriched)

Tens of thousands have died as a result of Chernoble, just because only 2 died straight away, does this mean we can just pack up Sydney and leave (and pretend that everyone already affected wont have huge issues for generations)

What you exam on? Hope its related! Mines on water ecology (keep your nuclear stuff outta it!) Goodluck in exam


Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
18 Nov 2008 8:20am
According to the CSIRO experts climate change as in global warming will mean southern Australia gets drier, droughts are more frequent, punctuated by infrequent heavy rains. Northern Australia will receive more rainfall on average while southern Australia becomes arid.

However I really don't think thats much different to what the Australian environment is like now. Henry Lawson wrote about the drought of 1890s, how tough life was out west around the Darling.

Not sure about sea levels. I can see no evidence of rising sea levels. You would think if temperatures rise a bit in Antarctica then precipitation would increase, thereby locking up more water into ice.

All in all, global warming would be much much better than global cooling.

Dawn Patrol
Dawn Patrol
WA
1991 posts
WA, 1991 posts
18 Nov 2008 8:23am
dism said...

What you exam on? Hope its related! Mines on water ecology (keep your nuclear stuff outta it!) Goodluck in exam


Cheers, the exam is on environmental engineering. Good luck to you also.

Yeh my point of chernynobil was that it shouldn't have happened, and it happened out of stupidity. All the other countries were warning russia a bad thing could happen out of what they were trying, and it did.

nebbian
nebbian
WA
6277 posts
WA, 6277 posts
18 Nov 2008 9:37am
Dawn Patrol said...


They are also developing nuclear fission. Which would be awesome. No waste, no emissions, massive amounts of power for very little amounts of H3 (one of the most abundant molecules in the universe).


Methunks you mean fusion... Big tokamak doughnuts with the biggest set of magnets you've ever seen, that heat a ring of H molecules into a plasma and pinch it so it turns into He and releases craploads of energy, with almost no waste and no environmental problems?

The sort of thing that only China has the guts to properly investigate?
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experimental_Advanced_Superconducting_Tokamak

Funny how globally we can 'bail out' the world economy with trillions of dollars, but the most we can throw at a project like this (which could conceivably save much more than a couple of share brokers) is 37 million
mineral1
mineral1
WA
4564 posts
WA, 4564 posts
18 Nov 2008 10:45pm
So if we want to be green and environmentally friendly, why haven't we progressed down this path?
http://www.abc.net.au/quantum/scripts98/9820/thoriumscpt.htm
Maybe not enough Mr C ash in it for the top end crowd
Dawn Patrol
Dawn Patrol
WA
1991 posts
WA, 1991 posts
18 Nov 2008 10:48pm
^^ Yep thats the one. Twas a late night
Gizmo
Gizmo
SA
2865 posts
SA, 2865 posts
19 Nov 2008 10:04am
When people mention that "nuclear power" would be the answer to our problems,
I then mention how many power stations would Austalia need? and are you going to distribute the power?
Lets assume that each state would need at least 2 station main & backup and with 7 states (including NT) thats 14 "nuclear power" stations MINIUM.
Now the cable system for the power would need a total upgrade to handle the massive potential loads.... right?
And then say in 20-25 years time when the maintenance is perhaps not quite up to scratch (think about the condition of the roads in Australia) and run by the government? or do we privatize it? (think ABC child care)
The concept of "nuclear power" actually concerns me, not for the safety now but in the future.....
At least with wind, solar, hot rock etc all adding smaller amounts of power to the grid, would actually a much safer and reliable system for all in Australia
Dawn Patrol
Dawn Patrol
WA
1991 posts
WA, 1991 posts
19 Nov 2008 9:50am
It'smore like 25 reactors. Because 5 would do 17% of our power (so ive been told). But i'm sure more than one can be built on one site, like multiple reactors?.
They don't actually bury nuclear waste yet. It is all stored above ground. (Or at least the majority of it is). The containers they are in are "expected" to last 100yrs. The reasoning behind this, is that in 100yrs time the scientists think it is likely a solution to storing the waste will have been thought up.
They currently have a pretty cool plan to deal with it. The want to bury it in subduction zones in the earths crust, beneath the ocean. This way the waste would be slowly sucked into the mantle, where it would just cycle around for a coupla millions years.
It would be a massive jobs. Going thousands of metres beneath the ocean, then they have to dig thousands more to get deep enough to do this.
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
19 Nov 2008 11:55am
Why talk about nuclear power in Australia anyway? If countries like Germany and Denmark can start using solar and wind power to generate electricity then Australia should be able to do it too. Sure people talk about baseloads and how renuables can't meet them. Exactly the same argument could be put towards coal fired power stations if there were not enough of them around.

From what I understand the way we use power has peaks and troughs. So the electricity companies have be prepared for the peaks probably at 7pm and on hot days when everyone has their airconditioning on.

An alternative will be to create a system where electricty is generated by renuable sources during the day or whenever its windy. This electricity is stored in batteries or some other system such as pumping water uphill to a dam. When the electricity is needed then the energy is released.

Where will all the batteries be? Possibly electric cars that have the capacity to store electricity when there is an excess in the network, and then discharge when there is a shortage. So you could charge your car up in the early morning when everyone is asleep. If you were not using the car then it could discharge its power during the day or in the evening. You would make a profit on buying cheap electricity and selling expensive electricity.


What does climate change mean for Australia? If some form of carbon tax is introduced, climate change will make most of us poorer. The carbon traders and governments will be richer. So climate change will mean that income is redistributed.
Gizmo
Gizmo
SA
2865 posts
SA, 2865 posts
19 Nov 2008 11:44am
Dawn Patrol said...

They don't actually bury nuclear waste yet. It is all stored above ground. (Or at least the majority of it is). The containers they are in are "expected" to last 100yrs. The reasoning behind this, is that in 100yrs time the scientists think it is likely a solution to storing the waste will have been thought up.
They currently have a pretty cool plan to deal with it. The want to bury it in subduction zones in the earths crust, beneath the ocean. This way the waste would be slowly sucked into the mantle, where it would just cycle around for a coupla millions years.
It would be a massive jobs. Going thousands of metres beneath the ocean, then they have to dig thousands more to get deep enough to do this.

And you trust the government to be able to do this?
When they cant even setup high speed broadband for Australians!!!
(or even fix the roads)

Gestalt
Gestalt
QLD
14968 posts
QLD, 14968 posts
19 Nov 2008 2:24pm
i am all for green also,

certainly there are lots of options on the table. solar, thermal, wind and nuclear all seem to be the good options.

the nuclear debate has moved on from the dangerous super reactor which has the potential to cause so much damage.

they are now made in mini form

www.nextenergynews.com/news1/next-energy-news-toshiba-micro-nuclear-12.17b.html

www.theguardian.com/environment/2008/nov/09/miniature-nuclear-reactors-los-alamos

there is also new technology for both wind and solar which make it more worthwhile.

the video link at the top basically says that with the current governments levels of reduction we will loose the northern end of the great barrier reef, kakadu, the ski fields etc in the next 20-30 years.

i think it suggested that this outcome was the good outcome if we can achieve 550 parts but the projections are suggesting it will be more like 750 parts and therefor worse. either way the experts are saying we have gone beyond a good point now.

the "negative" experts are saying extinction is approaching (not sure i agree). there is some data to back this up though. off the top of my head i think we are currently running at 30% extinction already. that's why people are currently scouring the globe recording flora and fauna dna maps.

the ice sheets sliding into the sea is bad. off the top of my head a couple of hundred feet bad.

there are lots of positives here also

by 2010 it is rumoured that electric and hydrogen cars will be sold to the masses

a clean coal power plant is being built in qld

the building industry is completely onboard with green design. there are guidlines, laws and legislation for all forms of construction and these reg are being tightened every year.

the environment is now top of the list of public concern.

the depression we are heading into is an opportunity to reset the clocks. hopefully the next industrial age will be driven by clean power. it seems to be heading this way so i am very hopefull.

i've done my own thing to help out also.

my home doesn't require heating or cooling year round due to design.
the garden doesn't need watering
i use public transport
i use energy saving devices

AND I WINDSURF....
landyacht
landyacht
WA
5921 posts
WA, 5921 posts
19 Nov 2008 10:34pm
Gizmo said...

When people mention that "nuclear power" would be the answer to our problems,
I then mention how many power stations would Austalia need? and are you going to distribute the power?
Lets assume that each state would need at least 2 station main & backup and with 7 states (including NT) thats 14 "nuclear power" stations MINIUM.
.
The last time Nuclear powerstations were debated in the media, it was pointed out that WA didnt have enough power requirements to warrant a plant.
Recently in COmmodoro Rividavia, Argentina we noticed that all the infrastucture for the oilfields and refineries and the towns and the city were powered by WIND turbines. they considered it absurd that oil would be wasted on generating electricity.
the Nuclear energy companies from around the world constantly keep trying to bring there waste to WA for "storage"., and we keep saying no thanks.
So all you othersiders keep in mind that when you go nuclear you will be stuck with the waste in YOUR backyard.

dism
dism
NSW
660 posts
NSW, 660 posts
20 Nov 2008 2:09am
A mate doing a study on alternatives to coal plants told me today that Australia's uranium deposits would only last to 2030

Think of the break even, why would we bother?

Just end up something else to buy from overseas, like the rest of our imports, we already have a huge import to export ratio don't we?
lalalamort
lalalamort
NSW
160 posts
NSW, 160 posts
23 Nov 2008 11:07am
Apparently, if the whole world hypothetically suddenly switched to nuclear, within less than ten years all the high grade uranium would be used, and nuclear would become much less efficient.

Wouldnt it be great if the billions of dollars of subsidies the nuclear industry gets were given to real green energy solutions.

While solar and wind are not as efficient currently, the technology is catching up.

We will have to switch to solar and wind soemtime in hte future, we may as well do it now before we ruin anymore.....good windsurfing spots
djdojo
djdojo
VIC
1614 posts
VIC, 1614 posts
23 Nov 2008 12:44pm
a little thought on acting locally, however trivial a part it may play in the big picture. having windsurfed professionally in the '90s i know a bit about the carbon footprint of lugging that gear around and the toxicity of manufacturing and disposing of it.

cut to this year: i hadn't done much water sport at all since '97 until i had the chance to jump on a sailboard again earlier this year. enter my conundrum: i love being on the water, going fast, getting air, being in beautiful settings, and yet i know the cost of these resource-intensive pleasures.

enter kitesurfing: the gear is small, and what there is has fewer nasty resins and foams, but best of all, i don't need a car. i realise not everyone can jump on a tram to stkilda or a train to brighton or altona, but those of us who could use public transport to go kiting, and yet continue to drive, might give this some thought.

again, when faced with megalomaniacal chumps in hummers towing jetskis and trailbikes, or equally, with the carbon footprint of kitesurfers and windsurfers who constantly fly and drive around the world, then this is perhaps a drop in the ocean of desirable change, but the psychological shift to a bit of mindfulness and humility in our daily resource use will, i suspect, resonate beyond the initial changes in behaviour.

i believe that all of us in the affluent world will have to get used to less energy-intensive ways of life. whether we (especially the most affluent and energy-hungry of our species) make this transition voluntarily and soon, or whether we wait for the rude shock of peak oil and other resource limits to kick our selfish arses even harder, will be one of the most interesting and challenging choices we may ever make, individually and collectively.

see you on the water, and on the tram,

brendan
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
30 Nov 2008 9:12am
Interesting article about the science, politics and sociology surrounding climate change:

www.smh.com.au/national/beware-the-church-of-climate-alarm-20081127-gdt4es.html?page=fullpage

Professor Plimer likens climate change scientists to creationist scientist by ignoring evidence that doesn't fit in with their models. He also says what people analysing data behind super computers are measuring is urbanisation, not climate change. However it could be argued as more land is becoming urbanised, this affects the local climate on a larger level.

The central problem advocates of human induced climate change ignore, are all the inputs on our climate. Clearly the sun and the Earth's orbit around it has more affect on the Earth's climate than all of our activities.



NotWal
NotWal
QLD
7436 posts
QLD, 7436 posts
30 Nov 2008 4:12pm
Historically global warming has led to abundance - proliferation of vegetation and animals. In a way it seems odd that we struggle to reject the gift.
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
30 Nov 2008 6:56pm
NotWal said...

Historically global warming has led to abundance - proliferation of vegetation and animals. In a way it seems odd that we struggle to reject the gift.


This is my personal belief. Firstly people generally fear change that is out of their control, especially when learned scholars explain the catastrophies that await them through these changes. Secondly it is our natural assumption to believe the age we live in is the most important time in human history and the natural history of the Earth and universe.

Its true global warming would be much much preferable to global cooling. If we entered another ice age the polar ice cap would swallow up most of continental North America along with northern half of the Eurasian land mass. Australia would dry out. There is evidence in the last ice age Aborigines were only able to survive in the river valleys of the east coast of Australia. The rest of the continent was uninhabitable.
kk
kk
WA
953 posts
kk kk
WA, 953 posts
30 Nov 2008 8:44pm
H.L. Mencken: “The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.”... Or Tax
geoffnotdead
geoffnotdead
33 posts
33 posts
6 Dec 2008 5:00am
Given the choice between global warming and a new ice age I´ll take global warming thanks ...
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