Hi,
This is my first post and i'm pretty new to kitesurfing. I bought my gear and had lessons last year but i'm hoping to really get into it this season. I live in Australind and have been looking at the weather predictions for Bunbury on seabreeze. When i compare the bunbury predictions with the actual weather results from the BOM website there seems to be a pretty large discrepancy - of about 10 knots. With the actual wind being a lot lower than what is predicted.
Can anyone tell me if these green arrows are pretty accurate or not ?
I'm hoping to get the kite wet this weekend.
Cheers,
John.

Yes they are accurate enough.

If you're a fisherman, boatie, surfer, you'd be same the exact opposite. I've been on both sides of the coin.

You just need to learn to adjust it to your local kiting area.

I find Seabreeze good for the long term forecast - to see what's coming.

Also I align with the difference sources I have, nothing is ever 100% correct all of the time - over time you get used to what the forecasts is and what actually happens at your local (Apart from Rosebud in Vic - I've been caught out at this spot more times that I care to imagine)

I have an app called PredictWind - it uses great wind modeling and it's developed for sailors, you can even set up your local spots so you're not locked into a specific location and guessing from there. I find this one is most accurate 12hrs before and may change last minute to align with the other models. It costs around $20 for the year subscription.

I use BOM, Seabreeze, PredictWind - Most of the sources will aggregate from these anyhow.

BOM and Seabreeze tend to over predict - I believe the BOM does due to covering their behind just in case a boatie see's 5kn and it's actually 25kn on the water and gets into trouble.

Best bet is to speak to some locals and find out what they use for their forecasting, sometimes you need to do some math/deduction as you say.

No

airush said..

hey John8oy

I bet you have been enjoying these last couple of dayz down in Bunbury.

What kites do you fly, will keep an eye out for you when I am down there next.

Hey Airush thanks for the reply,
I drove to all the kitesurfing spots that i know of in Australind - the estuary & the cut, and also into Bunbury back beach and didn't see a single kite. I didn't want to venture out by myself cause i'm thinking "maybe the weather is unsuitable cause if it was there'd b heaps of people out"
Normally theres people out at the estuary so i know if its good weather.
I did go out by myself on Thursday but i had problems self launching. The wind today and yesterday was very strong and was blowing onshore so i don't know if thats an issue or not ??
Anyways - yeh i look forward to meeting up sometime !