Predicting afternoon seabreeze wind strength

> 10 years ago
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BrianGF
BrianGF
3 posts
3 posts
30 Jan 2016 10:35am
anyone with the secret as to where/how we get as accurate prediction on the afternoon seabreeze. SeaBreeze offers a general forecast, often skipping the important part of the sailing day....
Jode5
Jode5
QLD
853 posts
QLD, 853 posts
30 Jan 2016 1:39pm
I think it comes down to local knowledge.
MorningBird
MorningBird
NSW
2711 posts
NSW, 2711 posts
30 Jan 2016 3:28pm
Jode5 said...
I think it comes down to local knowledge.

+1
Sometimes you can see from the chart whether the sea breeze will reinforce the natural wind gradient.
I have found Seabreeze to be pretty good on wind strengths in Sydney.
nswsailor
nswsailor
NSW
1458 posts
NSW, 1458 posts
30 Jan 2016 4:41pm
Black magic for this one.

Dry grass in the morning means no NE'er [Sea Breeze}

The wetter [dew] the grass is in the morning the harder it will blow.

If its still blowing hard after dark its a black NE'er and can blow for 24 hours or more!

This for the Mid North Coast of NSW.
S018
S018
SA
338 posts
SA, 338 posts
30 Jan 2016 9:55pm
MetEye

put in your local area and learn
takes a bit to get used to for some
best thing ever in wind forecasting

www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/


Ramona
Ramona
NSW
7757 posts
NSW, 7757 posts
31 Jan 2016 8:27am
If your heading offshore I would not risk depending on the Seabreeze weather guess. Bom is generally the best a far as how strong the breeze will be. I use the Seabreeze timing and the rest I get from BOM and the buoy offshore forecasts for my area. I'm not home at the moment so can not post the link to the buoy site.
FreeRadical
FreeRadical
WA
855 posts
WA, 855 posts
31 Jan 2016 9:47am
Also consider using BOM Lite. it gives you text only weather that loads fast and is good for very marginal reception areas. I used it quite a bit down the West Coast.

www.bom.gov.au/marine/lite/
MorningBird
MorningBird
NSW
2711 posts
NSW, 2711 posts
31 Jan 2016 2:32pm
Ramona said..
If your heading offshore I would not risk depending on the Seabreeze weather guess. Bom is generally the best a far as how strong the breeze will be. I use the Seabreeze timing and the rest I get from BOM and the buoy offshore forecasts for my area. I'm not home at the moment so can not post the link to the buoy site.


+1
My use of Seabreeze is purely inshore around Pittwater and environs.
Trek
Trek
NSW
1216 posts
NSW, 1216 posts
31 Jan 2016 4:57pm


Every one whos racing wants to know that!

Sometimes you can get a vague idea of what might happen by looking at these at the different measuring stations around where you are

www.weatherzone.com.au/station.jsp?lt=site&lc=66037&list=ob

ie. If the weathers stable the day might repeat the day before. But the important word is might!
BrianGF
BrianGF
3 posts
3 posts
31 Jan 2016 2:46pm
Thanks to all..helpful with links offered.
Feel sure though, that there must be some app which uses last ten-year history, where with certain equally similar conditions, closeness of isobars, inland and sea temperatures, the possibility of predicting the onshore wind speed day by day, should be available ?? BrianGF
Toph
Toph
WA
1890 posts
WA, 1890 posts
31 Jan 2016 3:08pm
So are you wanting to predict days/weeks ahead or just know what it is when it's in?

Seabreeze uses feeds off the BoM for it's graphs on this site and a few privately owned anemometers. But these would only read what's happening. Not predict ahead.
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
31 Jan 2016 9:09pm
BrianGF said..
Thanks to all..helpful with links offered.
Feel sure though, that there must be some app which uses last ten-year history, where with certain equally similar conditions, closeness of isobars, inland and sea temperatures, the possibility of predicting the onshore wind speed day by day, should be available ?? BrianGF


Design the App and you might become a multi millionaire.
nswsailor
nswsailor
NSW
1458 posts
NSW, 1458 posts
1 Feb 2016 3:56pm
No NE'er today or for some time I think... Grass was very dry this morning
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