I wouldn't want to be on a Sydney mooring that is exposed to southerlies this Friday. Looks like we are going to get a blow.

The Creek is very good. I'm thinking of moving there now the road from Terrey Hills has been resurfaced.

Not sure where you got that Rog. Current BOM local and inshore forecast for tomorrow is:

"Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots shifting south to southeasterly at 30 to 40 knots during the morning."

Closed water:
"West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the morning, locally reaching 35 knots."

Local effects, such as a venturi effect between two bits of land could see the actual wind a bit higher. My Pittwater mooring gets a strong local effect in sou westers where it funnels between Church Pt and Scotland Is.

The BOM in my experience is more conservative (S2H 1998 influence maybe) but I have found the BOM are pretty accurate nowadays compared to the early 2000s.

Sea breeze had over 35kts for tomorrow in yesterday's forecast. A check of the BOM synoptic chart to confirm it had me thinking through how I secured MB last weekend.
After 1998 BOM were seriously over egging wind speed. If they said 20 expect 10, their 30 was often 15-20. Not now from my experience. A 15 forecast usually sees 15 to 20 which is reasonable.
I expect their afternoon update caught up with the developing low.

MB. If you move to the Creek will you use your sisters mooring near Browns Bay??.

Port Botany closed to shipping due to high wind.

You can get near real time reports from the BOM Doppler wind radar:
'www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR71I.loop.shtml#skip

I have thought of that samsturdy. I couldn't use it permanently as Mischief is on it when not cruising but I have thought of 'borrowing' it.