2 schooners and a motorboat please

I'll go heads!

Simondo said...

I'll go heads!

Good choice - I have just been on the wrong end of a statistical rarity (yes Simondo you will love this) - she spun 11 heads in a row - I went from being up 3 units to down 6 units in a very short space of time!!!

Lets think about this just a little - assuming they are fair coins then the chance of spinning a head is 0.5. To throw 2 in a row is 0.5 * 0.5. So for 11 in a row is 0.5^11 = 0.000488281 or in normal terms about 2000 to 1!!!!!

Its with great relief that I did not start doubling up on tails after 6 spins like I wanted too!!! The risk aversion in me came threw when I needed it most. Thank farrrrk for that.

Anyway I am home now and can enjoy the barmaids (surely more than one is on duty on a busy night like tonight) in the green room

Sorry blondes and big tits are not my go.

Head

Ted the Kiwi said...

Scotty88 said...

Assuming 2 coins are thrown, 1 in 4 chance of 2H (HH,HT,TH,TT are the 4 possibilities)
and so on chance of HH & HH in 2 throws is 1 in 16 chance and so on I think.

Edit: I think 2nd throw is 1 in 8. sos simondo

Yes but in 2 up - 3 coins are thrown each time so there is always a result of either a heads or tails winner (e.g.: HHH, HHT,HTH, THT etc . So the chance of a heads or a tail is always 0.5 as on every throw either a H or T will always out score the other. I was just showing that the odds of getting 11 heads in a row is pretty small and hence a rare event

I assumed '2 up' meant 2 coins are thrown. I only played it once and was pissed as and was about 17 years ago. I guess if I don't even know how many coins are thrown I am not going to wager any further input.