End of GPSes?

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Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
25 Jun 2009 6:23pm
I read in the New Scientist today the satellites required for GPS calculations are getting old. Something like 24 satellites are required to make reasonably accurate calculations. Currently there are around 30 up there but a number are going to fail within two years and bring the numbers down towards 24.

The American Airforce apparently has difficulty building and launching new satellites.

I wonder if this is a bit of scare mongering by the American government in the hope of some other countries contributing towards the cost of the GPS system.
mathew
mathew
QLD
2174 posts
QLD, 2174 posts
25 Jun 2009 7:08pm
Mobydisc said...

I read in the New Scientist today the satellites required for GPS calculations are getting old. Something like 24 satellites are required to make reasonably accurate calculations.


Indeed, they are getting old, but new birds are sent up too -> the latest has three frequency bands (L1, L2, L5) + other enhancements.

Additionaly, the more birds your receiver can see, the better the positional accuracy. 24 is the minimum number needed in whole constellation around the globe, to be useful (you could have less, but it would be rather useless). If you had all 24 sitting directly above you, it would be quite accurate.

see: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GPS_modernization


Currently there are around 30 up there but a number are going to fail within two years and bring the numbers down towards 24.

The American Airforce apparently has difficulty building and launching new satellites.

I wonder if this is a bit of scare mongering by the American government in the hope of some other countries contributing towards the cost of the GPS system.



This is a photo of orbital bodies... what do you reckon? Some of it is pure scrap metal from explosions, etc... but I'm confident that we have that surfing-a-controlled-explosion-thing all figured out.

My guess is the comment relates to "need more funding"...



Ref: www.smh.com.au/news/businessinnovations/wireless--the-new-world-order/2008/05/12/1211654227833.html&h=331&w=470&sz=51&tbnid=G9-zaT5QENuHPM:&tbnh=91&tbnw=129&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dsatellites%2Bin%2Borbit&hl=en&usg=__ewOLVwV2dXFWMRuZavrGfnPd1Hs=&ei=4StDSriOIpSNkAX42vmbDw&sa=X&oi=image_result&resnum=5&ct=image
ka43
ka43
NSW
3105 posts
NSW, 3105 posts
25 Jun 2009 9:15pm
Matthew, that is bloody unbelievable!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Bonominator
Bonominator
VIC
5477 posts
VIC, 5477 posts
25 Jun 2009 10:02pm
mathew said...

Mobydisc said...

I read in the New Scientist today the satellites required for GPS calculations are getting old. Something like 24 satellites are required to make reasonably accurate calculations.


Indeed, they are getting old, but new birds are sent up too -> the latest has three frequency bands (L1, L2, L5) + other enhancements.

Additionaly, the more birds your receiver can see, the better the positional accuracy. 24 is the minimum number needed in whole constellation around the globe, to be useful (you could have less, but it would be rather useless). If you had all 24 sitting directly above you, it would be quite accurate.

see: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GPS_modernization


Currently there are around 30 up there but a number are going to fail within two years and bring the numbers down towards 24.

The American Airforce apparently has difficulty building and launching new satellites.

I wonder if this is a bit of scare mongering by the American government in the hope of some other countries contributing towards the cost of the GPS system.



This is a photo of orbital bodies... what do you reckon? Some of it is pure scrap metal from explosions, etc... but I'm confident that we have that surfing-a-controlled-explosion-thing all figured out.

My guess is the comment relates to "need more funding"...



Ref: www.smh.com.au/news/businessinnovations/wireless--the-new-world-order/2008/05/12/1211654227833.html&h=331&w=470&sz=51&tbnid=G9-zaT5QENuHPM:&tbnh=91&tbnw=129&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dsatellites%2Bin%2Borbit&hl=en&usg=__ewOLVwV2dXFWMRuZavrGfnPd1Hs=&ei=4StDSriOIpSNkAX42vmbDw&sa=X&oi=image_result&resnum=5&ct=image


Matt obviously it's not a photo. Actually in terms of the area vs number of objects (12,000 odd) the chances of collision are still virtually zero. Bear in mind that satellites orbit at different altitudes too so their paths nearly cross regularly. Mobydisc fear not, the US Airforce is not the only organisation capable of launching satellites, in fact they're one of many players, including the EU, China, Japan, India and Russia.

sailquik
sailquik
VIC
6172 posts
VIC, 6172 posts
26 Jun 2009 7:59pm
From University of Nottingham source:

GPS Status Summary September 2008

19 sats were past design life

15 sats were past pre-launch mean life estimate (MLE)

18 sats were one component away from nav failure

8 sats were one component away from bus failure.

Whoops!
sailquik
sailquik
VIC
6172 posts
VIC, 6172 posts
26 Jun 2009 8:02pm
GPS Modernisation Schedule

Second civil signal L2C

Designed to meet commercial / scientific needs

Higher accuracy through ionospheric correction

1st launch: Sep 2006 (IIR-M); 24 satellites: ~2016

Third civil signal L5

Designed to meet demanding requirements for safety-of-life

1st launch: Mar 2009 (IIR-M / IIF); 24 satellites: ~2018

Fourth civil signal “L1C”

Designed with partners for GNSS interoperability

Begins with Block III

1st launch: ~2014; 24 satellites: ~2021
sailquik
sailquik
VIC
6172 posts
VIC, 6172 posts
26 Jun 2009 8:15pm
"Galileo:In orbit validation. 4 operational satellites and ground infrastructure.

Full operational capability 2013. 26 operational satellites and complete ground infrastructure."

They say it will be more accurate and have better reliability than GPS.
mathew
mathew
QLD
2174 posts
QLD, 2174 posts
26 Jun 2009 9:26pm
Would it prove a point if the original image came from NASA?



I'm a little dubious of Galileo being finished by 2013... its taken them two years to put 4 birds up - I'm not confident they can do another 2 0 in the remaining 4 years.
nebbian
nebbian
WA
6277 posts
WA, 6277 posts
26 Jun 2009 8:11pm
mathew said...

Would it prove a point if the original image came from NASA?



I'm a little dubious of Galileo being finished by 2013... its taken them two years to put 4 birds up - I'm not confident they can do another 2 0 in the remaining 4 years.


Woooh... Is that big ring made up of satellites in geosynchronous orbit?

Also what about Iridium? Is this a codeword for one of those systems Sailquik mentioned?
mathew
mathew
QLD
2174 posts
QLD, 2174 posts
26 Jun 2009 10:30pm
nebbian said...
Woooh... Is that big ring made up of satellites in geosynchronous orbit?

Also what about Iridium? Is this a codeword for one of those systems Sailquik mentioned?


yes and no.... they are indeed geosynch, but the shot is a composition of a few hundred images
(geosynch is about 36,000 km from earth), so it looks way more than there actually are.

Iridium is the satellite phone network - orbit of 500 km - they probably are too small + far away to be seen in that shot.

GPS satellites - 20,000km

In theory it would be possible to create a GPS receiver that could use both GPS and Iridium satellites (plus some others, say GOES and NOAA) to create a more accurate receiver... or we could just use the existing L2 GPS frequency...
mathew
mathew
QLD
2174 posts
QLD, 2174 posts
26 Jun 2009 10:40pm
sailquik said...
19 sats were past design life

15 sats were past pre-launch mean life estimate (MLE)

18 sats were one component away from nav failure

8 sats were one component away from bus failure.


In all fairness to the US space program, most things in space are way past the MLE and yet are performing way above their design spec, eg: the mars rovers, hubble, etc. heck even some parts of the ISS are approaching EOL...

Its because the existing birds are still performing, as to why newer ones arn't being sent up -> there's no point replacing something that is working... the new unit may have an infant failure, then there wouldn't be any replacement.
stone
stone
WA
243 posts
WA, 243 posts
27 Jun 2009 7:55pm
hey look , iam a fairly basic kind of guy.
very basic on the computer.
Should i go and unfold sum cash for GT31 or not.
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