Wind, Solar or Nuclear???

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Mark _australia
Mark _australia
WA
23684 posts
WA, 23684 posts
7 Aug 2011 11:16pm
CJW said...

Mark _australia said...

I stopped reading after they mention a study of the power generated from 13th to 20th May.
A week is such a ridiculously short time frame that is it statistically useless, so it calls in to question the whole article.

A counter claim could be made that in a certain week the wind farms produced way above the forecast capacity, if we pick the right week.

Cant believe people read this rubbish and believe it when it is negated by a knowledge of year 8 maths.


The reason they highlighted that was to indicate that wind power can never really be a replacement for baseload power because you can get long periods with minimal power generation. Now, sure, it's a huge country blah blah blah, it's windy on the other side etc etc, but to cover the required amount of baseload power the spread and number of wind turbines you need is ridiculous.

Wind turbines are feel good, they are 'clean energy' to your uneducated idiot and people lap that **** up. Realistically they are stupidly inefficient, in the low 20% range (from studies of the CALI windfarms which are the largest and longest running in the world), they are expensive to produce and they are take up a shirtonne of space. They are feel good but they are NOT the solution.



No they did not highlight a week as an example.

They said wind power is not good because the forecast was 1600MW and in one week it was almost zero. Well woopdy fkn do, it may have been the most windless week for 100,000 years.
That statistic tells me stuff all unless they say what the best week was, and the average of all weeks in the year.
Or they could quote the CALI stats you mention (but they didn't)
THEN start saying how wind power is no good.

If you use a ridiculously small timeframe, then it looks like you have somethign to hide so I will switch off.

It is like saying my heart stopped beating today. Which implies I am dead.
Yes, it did stop.... 12300 times. As I chose to only talk about the 0.6 sec timeframe it is useless information.

It MAY be that wind power is useless, but the statistic quoted looks like typical internet conspiracy trollop.



pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
8 Aug 2011 1:50am
barn said...

You can bury 'waste' 5km under Uluru and it won't worry anybody..

And the risks of modern Reactors 'melting down' is pretty insignificant compared to the effects of burning all our oxygen..

The environment quickly recovers from Nuclear damage anyway, Chernobyl is now a wildlife sanctuary..


Burying: not saying that you can't just drop it down a shaft - of course gravity will make it fall. But you must know that there is more to it. Read up on Yucca: all the billions spent over the years, as well the risk of transporting, the exposure to terrorism attacks (which now weighs in the equation in the US), etc. I'm afraid you'd need a major impact analysis beyond "just chuck it down a mine shaft, and she'll be right".

Risk of melting down (and other accidents): it is small, but it is there - you must have watched the news in March about she'll-be-right plants in Japan. Comparing to Co2 and others: herein lies the equation. Not saying nuclear wouldn't win, just that the whole thing must be modeled much better. In Japan, the week before it happened, they would have held the same discourse as you (safe, will probably not happen, gee, what are the odds. that sort of science). The problem with the nuclear industry is that nearly all the experts... work for and are paid by said industry. This includes academia too. A bit like rounding up sardines to man the fishing fleet, huh? Someone in the business was telling me they also have a huge lobby and marketing effort (in the US says he), just like tobacco companies. I for one am totally taken aback by this statement.

About Chernobyl not being that bad: I'll tell you what: go convince all those who died, their families, those who were affected, were displaced, and those are still fighting with illness. Also convince me that it was easy to cap the whole thing back then, that there was no danger of getting worse for a while. Then you will have convinced me that Chernobyl will have been well worth it - no problema.

barn
barn
WA
2960 posts
WA, 2960 posts
8 Aug 2011 8:10am
^^ All real risks that must be taken. I saw Japan, waves look pretty dangerous, did everyone sell their beach side houses after that? no.. I also don't hold my breath every time I see a bird - in case I get Bird Flu..

Considering how much CO2 we are using now, and the population growth along with the rising middle class, our need for energy is going to sky rocket.. We will be using more fossil fuels in the future, but we will need nuclear as well..

I'm not saying Chernobyl was worth it , just showing the environmental damage at the scene of the Nuclear greatest disaster is minimal..

On the scale of man made things that screw up the environment - Nuclear hardly rates a mention..

Why is everyone so hysterical about it.. The alternatives are a lot worse
felixdcat
felixdcat
WA
3519 posts
WA, 3519 posts
8 Aug 2011 10:35am
barn said...

pierrec45 said...

barn said...

Nuclear (...) zero environmental impacts..

???


You can bury 'waste' 5km under Uluru and it won't worry anybody..

And the risks of modern Reactors 'melting down' is pretty insignificant compared to the effects of burning all our oxygen..

The environment quickly recovers from Nuclear damage anyway, Chernobyl is now a wildlife sanctuary..


The Exclusion Zone around the Chernobyl nuclear power station is reportedly a haven for wildlife.[103][104] As humans were evacuated from the area 25 years ago, existing animal populations multiplied and rare species not seen for centuries have returned or have been reintroduced, for example lynx, wild boar, wolf, Eurasian brown bear, European bison, Przewalski's horse, and eagle owl.[103][104] Birds even nest inside the cracked concrete sarcophagus shielding in the shattered remains of Reactor 4.[103] The Exclusion Zone is so lush with wildlife and greenery that in 2007 the Ukrainian government designated it a wildlife sanctuary,[105][106] and at 488.7 km2 it is one of the largest wildlife sanctuaries in Europe.[104]




And they all glow in the dark!
Little Jon
Little Jon
NSW
2115 posts
NSW, 2115 posts
8 Aug 2011 2:08pm
I have the answer, its really simple, just less people on the planet.
k4s
k4s
30 posts
k4s k4s
30 posts
8 Aug 2011 12:10pm
Probably the biggest and least asked or answered question in this whole energy debate is....What are the clean up procedures costs etc if and when there is an accident.?

If a windmill fails you cart the debris away..problem pretty much solved...same with solar,in fact most of the debris can be recycled into replacement parts.
Spill a ship load of oil and you can manually get out there and clean it up...huge job but it is possible.
Nuclear Plant goes bang...see ya...no clean up available at the moment.
So really until we have a way of successfully cleaning up the after math of mishaps Nuclear is a no go area for me.Even though it is a real energy producer that is cost effective over time the downside is just too big at present.
Gizmo
Gizmo
SA
2865 posts
SA, 2865 posts
8 Aug 2011 2:34pm
And what makes people think that you can continue to design poor energy efficient housing and then just crank up the Air Conditioning / Heating. And then scream "we need more energy resources"
How many houses are being built with no eaves, poor placement on the block, 2 storey houses with the sleeping upstairs (the hottest part).
Maybe we actually need to be creative and design our housing to uses minimal energy resources.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7283 posts
WA, 7283 posts
8 Aug 2011 8:22pm
Curious argument that :

'wind and solar power is inefficient so we should abandon it'

could have said the same about nuclear in 1950, gasoline in 1850, coal in 1750, water in 1650 or camel **** in 1050.

Or for that matter windsurf sails in 1980.


**Edit : don't want to sound like I think they are a good idea, quite the opposite really, but not for the arguments I read here - just that there are better alternatives, unless you live in some sort of strange post-apocolystic technologically advanced-yet-retarded mad-max type world**


pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
8 Aug 2011 10:29pm
LOL good point above.

It's as if the nuclear industry had a vested interest ?...
Nooooo, it couldn't be.
gesper
gesper
NSW
518 posts
NSW, 518 posts
8 Aug 2011 10:30pm
Geothermal Energy . en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geothermal_energy Saw it explained on tele the other night , was very interesting. Im sure with technology getting better this could become a much better source of energy
mineral1
mineral1
WA
4564 posts
WA, 4564 posts
8 Aug 2011 9:05pm
Get real you lot, Coal, and its here to stay, (well until we run out that is) then there is coal seam gas, that's another good one we can use.
All those others mentioned are left wing commie crap
barn
barn
WA
2960 posts
WA, 2960 posts
8 Aug 2011 9:08pm
Here is a time lapse of all the Nuclear detonations since 1945.. I don't know the difference between a Reactor meltdown and an A-bomb but I think it's safe to say if we survived this, we can survive a few modern powerplants..

Who let the British set off nukes in Australia?
Mark _australia
Mark _australia
WA
23684 posts
WA, 23684 posts
8 Aug 2011 10:09pm
mineral1 said...

Get real you lot, Coal, and its here to stay, (well until we run out that is) then there is coal seam gas, that's another good one we can use.
All those others mentioned are left wing commie crap


Gee who works in mining again?
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
9 Aug 2011 12:11am
Little Jon said...

I have the answer, its really simple, just less people on the planet.


Oh!! So you are like the inbred Prince Phillip. In the event that you are reincarnated you would like to come back as a virus deadly to humans so you can contribute to solving the problem of overpopulation.

Let's just wipe out all those useless eaters.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugenics

Wars used to be fairly good for population reduction and forced urban reconstruction but since the atom bomb that has made it a bit dangerous for us elitists in the post apocalypse scenario.

What about genocide, sterilisation and selective breeding. Hmmmmm!! Our boy Hitler tried that and he is about as popular as a pork chop in a synagogue lately.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusianism

Well we have got the AIDS thing going fairly well in Africa and Asia but what can we do about the ones coming to our estates and the low breds we already have.

Maybe we can get somewhere with this water flouridisation thing.

Destroying economies with a bit of this:-

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian_economics

and a bit of that:-

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_of_Nations

should get it all really confused.

Little Jon
Little Jon
NSW
2115 posts
NSW, 2115 posts
9 Aug 2011 1:50pm
mineral1 said...

Get real you lot, Coal, and its here to stay, (well until we run out that is) then there is coal seam gas, that's another good one we can use.
All those others mentioned are left wing commie crap


Anyone see "Gaslands"
Little Jon
Little Jon
NSW
2115 posts
NSW, 2115 posts
9 Aug 2011 2:16pm
cisco said...

Little Jon said...

I have the answer, its really simple, just less people on the planet.


Oh!! So you are like the inbred Prince Phillip. In the event that you are reincarnated you would like to come back as a virus deadly to humans so you can contribute to solving the problem of overpopulation.

Let's just wipe out all those useless eaters.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugenics

Wars used to be fairly good for population reduction and forced urban reconstruction but since the atom bomb that has made it a bit dangerous for us elitists in the post apocalypse scenario.

What about genocide, sterilisation and selective breeding. Hmmmmm!! Our boy Hitler tried that and he is about as popular as a pork chop in a synagogue lately.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusianism

Well we have got the AIDS thing going fairly well in Africa and Asia but what can we do about the ones coming to our estates and the low breds we already have.

Maybe we can get somewhere with this water flouridisation thing.

Destroying economies with a bit of this:-

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian_economics

and a bit of that:-

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_of_Nations

should get it all really confused.




Hey Cisco, don't insult me, I'll get all upset. I actually prefer the sex pistols view of the monarchy.."down with the queen and her facist regieme". I can't help it if chuck agrees with me on this one.

As for population reduction, I was thinking more of educating women. Educated women have far less kids than uneducated on average.

As for Hitler, Bush killed millions and has not got a bad rap. Get him back as president and nuke china before they get too strong?

Everyone is a keysian when there is a recession.

And wealth of nations, I have not read it but what's your angle here.

I still think we can't keep putting more and more people on the planet although I don't see any easy solution, just what's happening can't go on. People talk of technology but it can't keep up. Where is the technology to solve the murray or the hole in the ozone layer?



landyacht
landyacht
WA
5921 posts
WA, 5921 posts
9 Aug 2011 7:12pm
weel cisco , youve had a few days,
whats your solution to global warming , and providing electricity to the ever expanding populations
barn
barn
WA
2960 posts
WA, 2960 posts
9 Aug 2011 7:22pm
There is a catch-22 with educating women to lower the birth rate.. While it's highly effective and a fantastic goal. Educated populations no longer want to live in mud huts, they buy a car and a fridge and a N64..

Currently we are running at 130% of the Earths carrying capacity, it's a classic Biological overpopulation problem..

And there are plenty of Natural solutions to overpopulation, none of which are nice..
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
11 Aug 2011 3:27am
Little Jon said...
Hey Cisco, don't insult me, I'll get all upset.


No insult intended. I just thought your comment was a bit glib.

Less people on the planet?? So who goes first??

The human race cannot reasonably expect to continue growing exponentially as it appears to be doing with a thought of ongoing civilisation without some huge advances in technology being made.

Some sort of curb on population growth may be vital for the future. Logically one would have to think so.

I think the focus should shift from the problems to the solutions and resources poured into the sciences and not the least of all social sciences.
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
11 Aug 2011 3:51am
landyacht said...

weel cisco , youve had a few days,
whats your solution to global warming , and providing electricity to the ever expanding populations


You are assuming I think "global warming" is a problem and not a natural phenomena.

Electricity?? Reduce requirements and increase supply.

FlickySpinny
FlickySpinny
WA
657 posts
WA, 657 posts
11 Aug 2011 3:34am
Cisco...

Don't take this the wrong way, but seriously, do some background reading and don't believe everything you read/copy/paste.

The flaws in those articles are multiple. Don't get excited - I'm not going to enter into a debate on them here. I'm not a solar or wind junkie either. What I am is a scientist, and I spend a LOT of time working within the energy industry.

The reason I am posting this is that unfortunately the Australian Press have a habit of just creating headline controversy articles out of nothing, and unfortunately we tend to take them at face value.

For anyone who really (and I mean REALLY) wants to understand this area a bit more and also to gain a bunch more information so they can have a mature discussion about this, I strongly suggest reading the following as a starting point:

www.withouthotair.com/download.html - this is a UK-centric book that (I believe) has a bunch of flaws in it but is well reasoned and makes some excellent points about the strengths, weaknesses and feasibility of various forms and combinations of energy sources.

This is a recent publication that applies the same concept to Australia:
http://energy.unimelb.edu.au/uploads/Australian_Sustainable_Energy-by_the_numbers3.pdf - this is really good.


Please, anyone who is interested in this field, please please please read these publications so that you can have a rational debate with some of the facts in front of you, instead of doing what Cisco has done.

Please note, I'm not saying that these publications are perfect, but from an energy economics insider I think that this is a good starting point for anyone who wants to get beyond the headlines and the flimsy reporting that the Aussie press foists on us and actually get some sense of what is (and is not) possible with various forms and combinations of renewable energy sources.
SomeOtherGuy
SomeOtherGuy
NSW
807 posts
NSW, 807 posts
11 Aug 2011 9:24am
cisco said...

You are assuming I think "global warming" is a problem and not a natural phenomena.


From which I can see that you really just don't get it - "global warming" is a problem, whether it is a natural phenomena or not.
www.seabreeze.com.au/include/exit.asp?t=74893.88&r=9000&c=4818
If you believe the yoochoob-web-Alan Jones/Murdoch bunk that the planet isn't warming, that it's getting colder, that CO2 causes no problems, blah blah... then I say - SO WHAT? It's still a problem. If the climate changes significantly then we have a problem, regardless of the cause. If we're dead, we're dead regardless of what caused it.

So what do we do about it? Well, best bet that anyone can come up with is stop burning feckin' oil and coal! Coincidentally that's something that we have to do within the next generation anyway because we're running out of this stuff. How are your grandkids going to get to work in the morning when there's stuff-all oil left? More importantly, how are they going to get FOOD?
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
11 Aug 2011 1:18pm
There is no denying we have a problem of increasing population and dwindling resources.

There is another problem which is policy makers not being serious about it. Seems the only thing politicians are serious about is being re-elected and the beaurocrats just do the bidding of whichever mob happens to be in or who is offering the most money.

Waaaay too much egoism and self interest around the place.

@ FlickySpinny

I read the 10 page synopsis from the first link and it looks to be an objective view point. As a lay person I do not pretend to have the answers but from what I see, actions being taken by the legislators appear to only be "band aid" solutions.

Obviously radical changes globaly need to be made for the human race to survive.

The problems were apparent and correcting technology existant way back in the early '70s but no action was taken. Why!!!

Science holds the keys to our collective future. As I said before:-

"I think the focus should shift from the problems to the solutions and resources poured into the sciences and not the least of all social sciences."
FlickySpinny
FlickySpinny
WA
657 posts
WA, 657 posts
11 Aug 2011 5:51pm
I'm not remotely interested in debating any of your other points.

I'm pointing out that most of the articles you copied and pasted are inaccurate badly written sensationalist crap about the economics of renewable energy.

As such, there is a future for wind power and solar power, particularly in Australia.

There's also probably a case for nuclear power as well. But the idea that wind power is useless because it didn't blow for a few days is complete nonsense. The fact that the installed capacity is far greater than the power the wind farms generate is completely correct - and everyone knew that before they built the farms!

Australia's wind farms will only ever generate their installed capacity when the wind is blowing at the optimum speed at every turbine site in Australia....
.... is it really a news flash to you that this is a pretty unlikely thing to happen? Do you really think that the people who ordered / planned / built these turbines didn't stop to consider the fact that the conditions might not be optimal for every turbine all the time?

If you want some accurate numbers about what percentage of the installed capacity can be relied upon, read the publication I linked to previously - this spells it out.

It's only tabloid trash-talkers trying to stir up trouble who present that as a) News and b) a bad thing....

So my response should be taken as a response to your coping and pasting of a bunch of rubbish articles... not as a response to your global conspiracy thoughts.

ikw777
ikw777
QLD
2995 posts
QLD, 2995 posts
11 Aug 2011 10:29pm
^^^^

Yes, most of those articles have come out of the LaRouche organisation, a right wing political organization that one should scrutinise very closely before you decide you like or endorse the claims they make.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LaRouche_Movement

Also worth looking up the Citizens Electoral Council, an Australian affiliate of LaRouche and from where a few of those articles were drawn.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_Electoral_Council
Some zany stuff in there.

I'd not take even one piece of information from those articles on face value.
pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
11 Aug 2011 11:48pm
Always suspicious when one copy-pastes a large number of articles, all pointing in the same direction. It's a sales job rather than an objective study, it contributes to a pre-determined side, rather than to the debate at large.
IMO
FlickySpinny
FlickySpinny
WA
657 posts
WA, 657 posts
11 Aug 2011 11:41pm
IKW777 - nice one - that does make interesting reading. I was wondering where this stuff had come from.
GalahOnTheBay
GalahOnTheBay
NSW
4188 posts
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12 Aug 2011 11:54am
ikw777 said...

Yes, most of those articles have come out of the LaRouche organisation, a right wing political organization that one should scrutinise very closely before you decide you like or endorse the claims they make.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LaRouche_Movement


Not saying I agree or disagree with the views on LaRouche, but to be fair wikipedia is hardly the gold standard of truth...
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
12 Aug 2011 2:00pm
GalahOnTheBay said...

ikw777 said...

Yes, most of those articles have come out of the LaRouche organisation, a right wing political organization that one should scrutinise very closely before you decide you like or endorse the claims they make.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LaRouche_Movement


Not saying I agree or disagree with the views on LaRouche, but to be fair wikipedia is hardly the gold standard of truth...


Precisely. Nothing is beyond being questioned.

All please note the title to this thread is a question. "Wind, Solar or Nuclear???" or for that matter any of them?
Nothing like a good healthy debate. That is supposed to be what parliament is about........Isn't it?

barn
barn
WA
2960 posts
WA, 2960 posts
12 Aug 2011 12:30pm
I assume I'm not alone in not reading any of the copy pastes.. But the argument about wind, nuclear of solar can't be made simply on their current efficiency.. Technologies can take 50 years to become economically viable and only then will they supersede old technologies..

How viable was the car when it was 1st invented? useless.. And cars are still useless without major infrastructure..

Planes were also useless as a technology available to hoi polloi.. It takes time and scientific ingenuity, and that only comes with financial incentives.. Science is no longer done in backyards on a shoe string budget.. Plus side effects of new technologies can be hard to predict, CFC was hailed as a environmentally safe product, until we discovered it was destroying the Ozone..

Everyone saying we should stick to Coal is like the folk saying we should stay on horses.. Cars are just too expensive and slow...

Car, Plane or Horse?? which is the best mode of transport?? The answer can quickly change..




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