www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/nsw/how-police-stumbled-on-fugitive-20111210-1oooz.htmlMr Malcolm Naden's Bounty.
They have evidently increased his Bounty from $100k to $250k. I think it should be $500k. Here's why;
Likelyhood to seriously reoffend - probably moderate, or higher.
Likelyhood to burgle, avoid arrest - probably extremely high.
Size of Police Force tracking him down... According to this article, and read a few other articles.... look at the photos...
Here's a guesstimate of police staff and equipment.
General Police - 10
Air Police - 6
Special Forces - 10
IT/Communications Police - 4
Night security watch / change over - lets go with 10.
Total of 40, and I think that is "unders". Under Estimate.
Average staff price including living away allowances, travel, etc, etc - got to be $1,000 per day.
They say the operation will last maybe 30 days+.
Air Time for choppers, say 100hrs+ x $1000/hr+ = an easy $150k.
Police Communications Van, equipment, technology, depreciation of same, general expenses, etc. You could chew up $100k.
Staff/Police = 40 people x 30 days x $1000 per day = $1.2M, or round it down to $1M.
This guy is obviously skilled in the bush. If there's a chance he is being assisted, then there is a chance that a significant bounty may assist, and save Operational Costs by maybe $500k.
I guess most of these people are already a base cost, but the over time, danger money, expenses, air time etc, would easily equate to $250k of Extra Costs, extra to normal duties. So maybe the $250k bounty is roughly right. But I think this warrants a $500k bounty.
Would it bring out a few Bounty Hunters!?