Setting a Bounty

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Simondo
Simondo
VIC
8025 posts
VIC, 8025 posts
11 Dec 2011 4:08pm
www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/nsw/how-police-stumbled-on-fugitive-20111210-1oooz.html

Mr Malcolm Naden's Bounty.

They have evidently increased his Bounty from $100k to $250k. I think it should be $500k. Here's why;

Likelyhood to seriously reoffend - probably moderate, or higher.
Likelyhood to burgle, avoid arrest - probably extremely high.

Size of Police Force tracking him down... According to this article, and read a few other articles.... look at the photos...
Here's a guesstimate of police staff and equipment.
General Police - 10
Air Police - 6
Special Forces - 10
IT/Communications Police - 4
Night security watch / change over - lets go with 10.
Total of 40, and I think that is "unders". Under Estimate.
Average staff price including living away allowances, travel, etc, etc - got to be $1,000 per day.

They say the operation will last maybe 30 days+.
Air Time for choppers, say 100hrs+ x $1000/hr+ = an easy $150k.
Police Communications Van, equipment, technology, depreciation of same, general expenses, etc. You could chew up $100k.
Staff/Police = 40 people x 30 days x $1000 per day = $1.2M, or round it down to $1M.

This guy is obviously skilled in the bush. If there's a chance he is being assisted, then there is a chance that a significant bounty may assist, and save Operational Costs by maybe $500k.

I guess most of these people are already a base cost, but the over time, danger money, expenses, air time etc, would easily equate to $250k of Extra Costs, extra to normal duties. So maybe the $250k bounty is roughly right. But I think this warrants a $500k bounty.

Would it bring out a few Bounty Hunters!?


Simondo
Simondo
VIC
8025 posts
VIC, 8025 posts
11 Dec 2011 4:12pm
Their best chance is probably through the Police Dogs and Aboriginal Trackers if there are any left.
boofy
boofy
NSW
2110 posts
NSW, 2110 posts
11 Dec 2011 4:14pm
Lets get an old fashioned posse together Simo imagine the toys we could buy for 250k then we can have a Lynchin
boofy
boofy
NSW
2110 posts
NSW, 2110 posts
11 Dec 2011 4:19pm

They say the operation will last maybe 30 days+.
Air Time for choppers, say 100hrs+ x $1000/hr+ = an easy $150k.
Police Communications Van, equipment, technology, depreciation of same, general expenses, etc. You could chew up $100k.
Staff/Police = 40 people x 30 days x $1000 per day = $1.2M, or round it down to $1M.


Coffee, donuts, Maccas x 30 days=$ 10k
62mac
62mac
WA
24860 posts
WA, 24860 posts
11 Dec 2011 1:34pm
Easy fix,till him the surfs pumping
Scotty88
Scotty88
4214 posts
4214 posts
11 Dec 2011 5:28pm
What I find intriguing is this bloke is an excellent bushman but fails to wear gloves when he does a break & enter and leaves his fingerprints all over the joint. He has been caught out on at least 3 occasions.
I don't reckon they will get him.

Simondo: The Telegraph reported that there is one aboriginal tracker left now and he's 64.
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
11 Dec 2011 8:48pm
If following US practice he will won't be brought in alive so the bounty won't be paid. Clearly the bloke is a bit of a nutter but is an excellent bushman. I would not want to meet him out on a campsite. I used to work and camp around that area when I worked for the government back in the 90s.

japie
japie
NSW
7146 posts
NSW, 7146 posts
11 Dec 2011 9:32pm
Mobydisc said...

If following US practice he will won't be brought in alive so the bounty won't be paid. Clearly the bloke is a bit of a nutter but is an excellent bushman. I would not want to meet him out on a campsite. I used to work and camp around that area when I worked for the government back in the 90s.




There are so many references to this guy bring an excellent bushman. I agree that he is a hardy bastard but he is not an excellen bushman.

This guy is. If he wanted to dissappear they would never find him because he can survive without having to break in anywhere.




SandS
SandS
VIC
5904 posts
VIC, 5904 posts
11 Dec 2011 9:54pm
nice one Japie, good post
Simondo
Simondo
VIC
8025 posts
VIC, 8025 posts
24 Dec 2011 6:08pm
Ross Cameron wrote the following;
A couple of brief paragraphs sums up the situation nicely. My estimates of police force size were about right.


They are tracking a man who survives as his ancestors did. He lives in a hootchie under starlit skies in Barrington Tops. His ears are trained by silence and hunger to pick the sound of a suckling joey across a canyon. Our guys arrive eating McDonald's in their throaty V8 Land Cruisers, static crackling on the VHF, mobiles glued to their ''town ears''. They have ably spared our city from sophisticated terrorist plots but a blackfella in the bush eludes them.

From what we understand (police are coy), Naden heard them trudging over the broken ground before they got within cooee of camp and he slipped into dense eucalypts, to watch, weigh his options. The marksman traded his binoculars for the cross-hairs of a small bore rifle. It's 7am, one against 15 (and 40-odd more at Nowendoc), but the hunted guy is choosing the target. One round, one man down - Naden has added to his charge sheet a shoulder wound to a 33-year-old constable. The other 14, with no clue where the shot came from, rush to help their mate.

Later the whitefellas head to their showers, warm beds and pay TV. Refuelled choppers hovering all day over a patch of bush can't find a trace. Meanwhile the phantom begins a moonlit walk through the high country - perhaps to his next stash of ammo, blankets and food.


Read more: www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/police-meet-their-match-in-phantom-of-the-bush-20111223-1p8hx.html
Simondo
Simondo
VIC
8025 posts
VIC, 8025 posts
24 Dec 2011 6:15pm
^ read the whole article on the link. But those 3 paragraphs are some of the most interesting I've read all year. Right up there is OBCT's work in the Longboard Room. Yes, there is a Longboard Forum hidden amongst the forum directory tree!

We have started to call the Longboard Room an "open bar". No fighting, no verbal abuse, no baiting, not 1 conspiracy all year, nobody trying to show anyone how good they are. Oops, sorry, I'm in the General Forum. Just had a moment of clarity...
BulldogPup
BulldogPup
6657 posts
6657 posts
24 Dec 2011 3:23pm
highnoon
highnoon
VIC
602 posts
VIC, 602 posts
24 Dec 2011 7:49pm
Sounds really boring now
Simondo said...

^ read the whole article on the link. But those 3 paragraphs are some of the most interesting I've read all year. Right up there is OBCT's work in the Longboard Room. Yes, there is a Longboard Forum hidden amongst the forum directory tree!

We have started to call the Longboard Room an "open bar". No fighting, no verbal abuse, no baiting, not 1 conspiracy all year, nobody trying to show anyone how good they are. Oops, sorry, I'm in the General Forum. Just had a moment of clarity...


Simondo
Simondo
VIC
8025 posts
VIC, 8025 posts
24 Dec 2011 8:05pm

highnoon ^



BulldogPup
BulldogPup
6657 posts
6657 posts
24 Dec 2011 5:14pm
highnoon said...

Sounds really boring now
Simondo said...

^ read the whole article on the link. But those 3 paragraphs are some of the most interesting I've read all year. Right up there is OBCT's work in the Longboard Room. Yes, there is a Longboard Forum hidden amongst the forum directory tree!

We have started to call the Longboard Room an "open bar". No fighting, no verbal abuse, no baiting, not 1 conspiracy all year, nobody trying to show anyone how good they are. Oops, sorry, I'm in the General Forum. Just had a moment of clarity...





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