Super Rant

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evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
25 Jan 2009 11:21am
<rant>

Superannuation, yet again.

1. Your super fund is not guaranteed. I mean the actual dollars if the super fund collapses, like Babcock & Brown. This is not unlikely.

2. You are forced to give the fund money and they charge you for this transaction.

3. The aging population issue that superannuation is supposed to be anticipating is actually being made worse because we have even less disposable income for children. The problem is feeding itself.

4. The government doesn't guarantee your super because ...well I wouldn't either.

</rant>

Back to the Saturday morning cartoons.
theDoctor
theDoctor
NSW
5786 posts
NSW, 5786 posts
25 Jan 2009 1:33pm
yes but panda don't you realise, this is the 'lucky' country and we are 'free'

now give me an 'oi, oi, oi' and go tattoo a southern cross on yourself...
Arnold
Arnold
46 posts
46 posts
25 Jan 2009 12:08pm
Less complaining, more action, join the movement:

http://thezeitgeistmovement.com/home.html
cranky
cranky
440 posts
440 posts
25 Jan 2009 6:37pm
Arnold said...

Less complaining, more action, join the movement:

http://thezeitgeistmovement.com/home.html



I just watched a couple of thier dvd's, quite interesting and thought provoking, Im not sure how credible they are though.
brady
brady
TAS
454 posts
TAS, 454 posts
27 Jan 2009 1:05pm
evlPanda said...

<rant>

1. Your super fund is not guaranteed. I mean the actual dollars if the super fund collapses, like Babcock & Brown. This is not unlikely.



Funds collapsing happens because of leveraging - ie borrowing money to invest, which increases both returns (if the market rises) and losses (if it falls)

By law super funds are not permitted to borrow money. Ie they cannot leverage

The only way the fund can completely collapse is if every single investment they make ceases to exist. Two possible ways:
1. all the eggs in one basket (usu self managed super), in which case they are idiots
2. Complete implosion of all finances, such that not one single company/bank/anything is left standing - think nuclear warfare or something. In which case how useful is a government guarantee. They wouldn't have any money either

I think your fund is safe from collapse.

Yeah, the funds have lost money. But the stock market is at the same level as in 2004. Think about it. If the stock market had not made any money at all for 5 years, people wouldn't be complaining like this. The only difference is the past five years of your super investment has bought stock when the market was higher, and then dropped. The losses are then the difference in the purchase price and current price.

If you are about to retire, this is a small proportion of your super. If you are not, you'll well and truly make it back before then

I am SO not worried about all of this.

And super is far and away the best investment most people can make with their money. It's taxed much less than your income. Think about it - a guaranteed 10% return (or whatever depending on your tax rates) immediately. Particularly if you put the money into your not-working spouse's super - then it is pretax, plus the government gives additional funds. For me, I made a 30% return overnight by doing that.

I think the small losses on my last 5 years of super contributions are worth that

No-one EVER complains about super when the funds are making money
evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
27 Jan 2009 4:25pm
God, I'm going to sound like a grumpy pessimist here. I've got bugger all in super anyway, but I'm a little worried about all the others. Carebear or what?

brady said...
By law super funds are not permitted to borrow money. Ie they cannot leverage


But they can invest into company X that is heavily leveraged. Or they can invest into company X that invests heavily in Company Y that is heavily leveraged.

Interestingly they can also invest in CFDs. Even self-managed super funds can invest in CFDs.
www.ato.gov.au/law/view/document?docid=AID/AID200756/00001


2. Complete implosion of all finances, such that not one single company/bank/anything is left standing - think nuclear warfare or something. In which case how useful is a government guarantee. They wouldn't have any money either


They don't have any money anyway, in fact as far as super goes the commonwealth and state governments actually owe many, many zeros:

"THE collective deficit of state and federal superannuation funds had blown out to $156billion by June 30 and is expected to be much bigger by the end of the year after the superannuation industry suffered its worst performance in more than 20 years."

www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24792924-601,00.html


Yeah, the funds have lost money. But the stock market is at the same level as in 2004. Think about it. If the stock market had not made any money at all for 5 years, people wouldn't be complaining like this.


Not too sure about the "over a long period of time" view either. On the US markets, at least, we are looking at the same level as mid 1997 (zoom out):

finance.google.com/finance?q=INDEXDJX:.DJI,INDEXSP:.INX,INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC

And things are not exactly looking up with a few jobs lost overseas last night.

Anyway, I'm not really putting forwards an alternative am I?

I'd like to see either:

A) Ability to place said money against my mortgage. This gives me a guaranteed return equivalent to my interest rate. It is not affected by the rise and fall of anything, I owe on my mortgage what I owe. I'll still pay the 15% tax. This could be optional to a fund.

B) Optional Super contributions (assuming that the super is actually yours, not your employer's).







RRamjet
RRamjet
QLD
43 posts
QLD, 43 posts
27 Jan 2009 6:54pm
Super at the moment has been like sailing a wave board when the wind drops - that awkward sinking feeling.

But the longer you hang out there, the wind picks back up and you are off. If it looks dodgy and likely to happen again, you play it safe and go back to shore.

The super market is like this too, it goes in cycles like El Nino.
Historically the super cycles (closely related to the market cycles) is around 7 years.
What you have in there in your super will bounce back given time. I still have mine in high risk growth and diversified between O/S and Aust shares. At the moment the O/S are doing better. If you were say to retire before the crash, the cash option would be the fairer bet, but it too was affected.
Best talk to a financial adviser, but the Paul Clitheroe's and other monetary commentators all just say hang in there.

Also I just chip in a little myself to my employers fund, and its tax deductible as salary sacrifice, well worth doing, dont really notice the deduction if you do it right and builds nicely too.
evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
28 Jan 2009 10:22am
RRamjet said...

Super at the moment has been like sailing a wave board when the wind drops - that awkward sinking feeling.

But the longer you hang out there, the wind picks back up and you are off. If it looks dodgy and likely to happen again, you play it safe and go back to shore.


1997 dude:





brady
brady
TAS
454 posts
TAS, 454 posts
29 Jan 2009 10:40am
evlPanda said...

But they can invest into company X that is heavily leveraged. Or they can invest into company X that invests heavily in Company Y that is heavily leveraged.

Interestingly they can also invest in CFDs. Even self-managed super funds can invest in CFDs.
www.ato.gov.au/law/view/document?docid=AID/AID200756/00001




True. But YOUR losses are limited to the total value of the investment in that company. Ie the shares in that company, (or CFD or whatever) are limited to a small proprtion of your total fund value. In a well run fund that should be only a small proportion of the total

evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
29 Jan 2009 12:09pm
brady said...
True. But YOUR losses are limited to the total value of the investment in that company. Ie the shares in that company, (or CFD or whatever) are limited to a small proprtion of your total fund value. In a well run fund that should be only a small proportion of the total


That is not how CFDs work, which is why it is so surprising that they are allowed for Super. CFDs are 10:1, or 20:1 for an index. Thus a 20% drop is a 200% loss.

Agreed though, a well run super fund should not be using CFDs, and they probably aren't. Perhaps if they hedged with an option or similar instrument.

Can anyone clarify on the "The Australian" (the the) article I mentioned above and the $156B deficit? I recall reading, I may be completely wrong, it is associated with some bad building projects? These are the super funds for mainly public sector workers.

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