When are we going to get a break..........WOW this week we can choose to ride in the Easterlies before work or the SW after.......or better yet...double sessions, WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAa ROCKS

At the start of this week i looked at the 7 day forecast and all i saw was yellow and red. 3 days in a row of 18-23 seabreezes and today will be the same. Laurie wat the hell is going on, even BOM is getting it right... Moral of the story, never trust forecasts.

WA predictions have been spot on. Predicting the thermals must be easier than the fronts.

People here must be kited out, saw no-one riding the Easterlies this am...........yea, on way to work Swearingbear.

quote:

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Originally posted by Spacemonkey!

At the start of this week i looked at the 7 day forecast and all i saw was yellow and red. 3 days in a row of 18-23 seabreezes and today will be the same. Laurie wat the hell is going on, even BOM is getting it right... Moral of the story, never trust forecasts.

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Haha! The forecasts are right, it's the weather that changes!

Also depends what you mean by "right". Regards WA, if you were on Rotto, then the forecast was 100% accurate. If you were standing on the beach in Swanbourne, it would have been wrong.

The forecasts are updated every 6 hours, and if the Easterly comes on a little stronger in that time and keeps the seabreeze out, then that's weather .. it is allowed to change.

Predicting the weather relies on readings from many heights in the atmosphere, and from offshore (100's of Km's) conditions - i.e. it depends on ships and weather buoys floating in the area reporting the conditions (and that's only on the surface, not 500m up in the sky)... then these values are interpolated to create surface charts, and the forecasts are drawn up.

I urge everybody to learn more about weather, there's a primer at www.seabreeze.com.au/info/wind.asp .. that way you can apply your own personal bias on whether to cancel that wedding engagement...

Have a great day .. Laurie

p.s. Did you know that if you click on the 7 Day Forecast image, it takes you to the synoptic charts?

It just hasn't stopped.

Carnarvon to Kalbarri:
Strong wind warning.
Tuesday until midnight: SW/SE winds 15/20 knots increasing to S/SW 20/30 knots
during the afternoon. Seas to 2.0m. Swell to 2.0m.
Wednesday: S/SW winds 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas 1.5m to 2.0m. Swell to 1.5m.
Thursday: S/SW winds 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots in the afternoon.

It'll be like this for the next 4-5 months.