Will Climate change affect the wind?

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Hammerhead
Hammerhead
NSW
118 posts
NSW, 118 posts
22 Aug 2006 9:05am
With climate change affecting the world, they say "Australia is getting hotter and drier" will this affect how windy or how often it's windy in the future?

I have noticed that in the last few years that windy days are getting less frequent on the East Coast (Newcastle at least), is it just me or has anyone else noticed this? I have talked with some professional seasoned fisherman and they recon the North Easters are nowhere near as frequent as they used to be, they said you could set your watch by them.

Or are there parts of Australia that are getting more wind now than they did 20-30 years ago?
realplayer
realplayer
QLD
186 posts
QLD, 186 posts
22 Aug 2006 9:13am
i dont think you'd have to worry about it in our life time
silviu
silviu
VIC
663 posts
VIC, 663 posts
22 Aug 2006 9:17am
quote:
Originally posted by realplayer

i dont think you'd have to worry about it in our life time



You will be amazed to know that you have to be very worried in your life time. It is already affecting us and, if we are not doing anything about NOW, the worst is to come!!!
Wake up people, do not think like that!!!
GalahOnTheBay
GalahOnTheBay
NSW
4188 posts
NSW, 4188 posts
22 Aug 2006 9:25am
short answer is yes - noticed a change in the winds over the last few years? I have, and I'm not just talking about the hot air coming out of this forum either...
brooksy
brooksy
WA
498 posts
WA, 498 posts
22 Aug 2006 8:16am
It's pretty hard to tell if recent changes (especially anecdotal ones) are real changes or just a part of normal climate variability. After all we only have accurate info for about the last 100 years.

But Australia will see mixed results, some areas will be wetter, some drier. Wind patterns will change, so seabreezes might be stronger or weaker depending on where you live and cold fronts will typically be more extreme in southern oz as hot humid air is sucked into them.

It's complicated. Changes in ocean currents, especially on the WA coast, will probably have more of an impact than rain or wind in WA. At least us kiters are doing our bit - turning wind energy into useful fun energy!
Fitzy
Fitzy
QLD
617 posts
QLD, 617 posts
22 Aug 2006 10:36am
I have noticed a big change in the wind patterns since I took up kitesurfing a few years ago.

When I surfed, water skied or fished it was always windy. Very frustrating. I took up a sport that could utilise the dreaded wind. Now I spend a lot of time surfing, skiing and fishing because there IS NO WIND !!!

There has been a lot of conjecture about the hole in the ozone layer causing global warming. But we need the hole in the ozone layer to let out all the smoke from the forest fires in Brazil

Fitzy Gold Coast OZ
Kitehard
Kitehard
WA
2782 posts
WA, 2782 posts
22 Aug 2006 8:54am
Hey Peeps,

I think the biggest change is not the air temps, it is more the sea temps which are creating the havoc. I mean last year we had our coolest summer for ages and then the driest and most mild Autumn. We are now getting hammered with NWesters which is good and hopefully resetting our normal summer patterns because the winds in WA have been nothing like they should over the last 2 years.

In Sydney as a boy I used to waterski and sail dinghys and it used to blow 5 knots every day on the Bat and then storm in the late arvie. You get nothing like that anymore.

We shouldn't complain though at least we have access to kites and boards that will get us going in less than 10 knots unlike the poor old pole dancers who need a minimum of 15-20 knots to have any fun at all.

Good winds,

Tonewolf
Tonewolf
382 posts
382 posts
22 Aug 2006 1:50pm
Watch the movie"the day after tommorrow" and thats coming baby!
uvblue
uvblue
QLD
23 posts
QLD, 23 posts
22 Aug 2006 4:19pm
It's not so far from the truth, Wolfy... Actually, if you look closely at the synoptic map in that movie, you'll see that Australia and the rest of the subtropical continents were becoming tropical rather than freezing like above the equator.
I believe that the climate shift will cause the Equator to "move" lower south so places like Sydney will get Cairns weather.
The real question is will Melbourne people get nicer with Sydney weather...
tobes
tobes
NSW
1000 posts
NSW, 1000 posts
22 Aug 2006 4:58pm
If you want to understand what is known about "global warming" the best advice I can give is to read "The Weather Makers" by Tim Flannery.
Global Warming has nothing to do with the hole in the ozone layer. I'm so sick of people thinking that if they don't use hairspray they are not part of the problem! That was an excellent example of the way industry can cooperate to solve an environmental problem, we stopped the production of CFC gasses and the situation is reversing.
Drive less, use less electricity, insulate your house instead of hooking up an air conditioner, buy less stuff. If you are capable of it then catch rain water, generate your own electricity, grow some food. The sh!t will hit the fan in our lifetimes, I'm kind of getting used to the news readers describing heatwaves, droughts, floods as "freak" or "once in a lifetime". In the mean time, lets go kiting!
bondo
bondo
QLD
699 posts
QLD, 699 posts
22 Aug 2006 5:13pm
quote:

The real question is will Melbourne people get nicer with Sydney weather...



not if people from sydney move here
nebbian
nebbian
WA
6277 posts
WA, 6277 posts
22 Aug 2006 4:59pm
quote:
We shouldn't complain though at least we have access to kites and boards that will get us going in less than 10 knots unlike the poor old pole dancers who need a minimum of 15-20 knots to have any fun at all.


HA HA HA ha ha ha ha ha
I laugh even more when the kites fall out of the sky and they're forced to self rescue, while I bobble my way merrily back in on my poleboard

OK back to reality, this is neither the hottest nor the coldest time in the earth's history. The biggest climate change occurred when plants started growing, sucking up all that lovely CO2 and producing a poisonous gas (well it was poisonous at the time): Oxygen. Now all we're doing is burning some of that plant matter (oil used to be dead plants) and putting it back into the atmosphere, where it was in the first place.

Yes it's worrying, however in the long term mother nature will endure, find new niches to fill and make the best of any situation.

Here's some info on what the ozone layer looks like now, compared to ten years ago (it's recovering):
www.earthfiles.com/2006/08/19/repair-of-earths-ozone-layer-has-slowed/

There are multi-year cycles going on in Australia, and have been going on for a lot longer than we've got records for. Explorers 200 years ago found fantastic grazing land in inland Australia, brought lots of stock in, and then whammo, the climate changed and the stock died of starvation. This change wasn't caused by an industrial revolution, it's a normal part of the chaotic cycle.

It's not a simple problem, the scientists really and truly don't know what effect global warming will have.

The biggest problem at the moment is burning fossil fuels. Little johnny saying that we should put 15% ethanol in petrol is just pissing in the wind, look at Brazil, they've got 2 million vehicles on the road right now that are capable of running on pure alcohol (they call it "Flex Fuel", can run on petrol or pure ethanol), making it really environmentally friendly.
Think about it, you grow some sugar cane, it sucks in sunlight and CO2 and makes alcohol, you burn it in a car, it produces energy and you get your CO2 back again. No net output of CO2 so the planet is happy.

So is little Johnny telling us about this? No. Is he telling us about "Butanol", a liquid that can be made from sugar cane, is 100% environmentally friendly, and WILL RUN IN ANY UNMODIFIED PETROL CAR? Of course not.

Draw your own conclusions
tobes
tobes
NSW
1000 posts
NSW, 1000 posts
22 Aug 2006 7:14pm
Biofuels are a step in the right direction, but currently any gain in greenhouse emissions is offset by the energy cost of growing and processing the biofuel.
I'm stocking up on quality mountain bikes
gruezi
gruezi
WA
3464 posts
WA, 3464 posts
22 Aug 2006 5:48pm
Who knows, but if it brings more wind and water, I'll all for it.
Coral Sea
Coral Sea
QLD
476 posts
QLD, 476 posts
22 Aug 2006 7:56pm
Why don't we don't stick a whole heap of electricity generating wind turbines up on huge, computer controlled kites that sit up at 5,000m out of everyone's sight (and well out of the flight paths of the endangered birdlife), they could be making electricity 24/7 no matter what the wind at ground level. The aircraft would have to fly around them but that is not a problem with the nav technology they have.

Think of the power one piddly little 12m kite can harness, to pull an 80kg human way up into the air.....there is so much energy in the wind....why can't we think a bit more creatively about it?

Or farms of solar panels out in the bush where we have basically stuffed the land to the point where it is not much good for anything else....

It ****s me to tears this greenhouse thing and global warming, there is so much clean energy out there, solar and wind, and yet we still have these dinosaur politicians talking about economic growth and biofuels, all the while opening up more oil, gas and coal fields as fast as their greedy little hands can sign off the contracts. And it is my kids that will be paying the price tag...all these other pigs will be dead in 20 years, and we still have another 150yr of global warming to come just from the ocean current CO2 delivery alone...

...wind power, wind power!! Kiters of the world, make your voices heard!
gruezi
gruezi
WA
3464 posts
WA, 3464 posts
22 Aug 2006 6:16pm
Lurve your thinking neo. Maybe the kite lines would create too much drag for the kite to get that high up. I agree though, this climate change thingy has been going on for too long...hopefully we humans will regulate it before it or something else regulates us.

realplayer
realplayer
QLD
186 posts
QLD, 186 posts
22 Aug 2006 8:25pm
weather can change and stay the same for along time, did u ever know eygpt used to be jungle

unles ur talking about global warming effects
gruezi
gruezi
WA
3464 posts
WA, 3464 posts
22 Aug 2006 6:36pm
Isn't it a great place to kite now?
dave......
dave......
WA
2119 posts
WA, 2119 posts
22 Aug 2006 9:07pm
Bring on global warming.... Im buying a 6.8litre V12 whatever and gonna contribute as much as I can... If living in Perth means we will get geraldton winds in summer I cant wait...mabe the great whites will **** off further south,we will grow mangoes and bananas in our own backyard, and drinking beer out of a glass will come with an umbrella in it

Come on its not such a bad thing...
GreenPat
GreenPat
QLD
4107 posts
QLD, 4107 posts
23 Aug 2006 12:02am
Will climate change affect the wind? Yes. 'Climate' means average weather, weather includes wind velocity, if the climate changes, then the wind is most likely to change with it. We know the climate changes, so the average wind velocity will be affected by this. QED. Could have worked out the same thing 200 years ago.

Now global warming, that's a whole different story...
Hayman
Hayman
QLD
99 posts
QLD, 99 posts
23 Aug 2006 10:44am
Yeah it really looks like mother nature is fixing itself up in those asian cities etc where you cant see 30m in front of you because of the pollution. I simply dont think it can heal as fast as we f#*k it up..
People need to redesign the way they do things..
example: ppl want to get from point A to point B.
soloution: build a fuel guzzling beast that needs high maintenance, running cost, and pollutes heaps..<<<WRONG>>..
You build a system that requires minimal energy to run, produce and maintain and that has clean emissions.. etc..

People need to realise that encorporating sustainability into our society is cost beneficial, not a burden.

Abouts the winds though...sure they are changing..ENjoy them while it lasts.
brooksy
brooksy
WA
498 posts
WA, 498 posts
23 Aug 2006 8:46am
Biofuels isn't quite the answer. Ethanol actually reduces ghg emissions by 3-8% depending on the source of the ethanol (grain/corn/sugar) and the production methods. Keep an eye out for Primary Energy Ethanol being built in Kwinana WA. They have currently the best production method as they capture all waste products for recycling or power generation.

Ethano made from garden and cellulose waste, like paper, green waste and any other orgnaic landfill will be the way to go. Unfortunately using corn/sugar/grain isn't the best method as the production has devastating effects on biodiversity, salinity, erosion and it's not efficient at sucking up CO2 to produce 02.

The key is consumption. We use too much and with China and India on the way we use WAY too much fossil fuels. Simple solutions which work are:
using a direct injection diesel vehicle or hybrid
using a solar hot water system
using gas powered electricity instead of goal, even better is hydrogen or best is wind power from a GHG point of view
consume less - travel efficient, car pool, use public transport, walk to the shops, ride a bike, etc

A good solution is to encourage your company to purchase "green electricty" or participate ina carbon offset program.

GreenPat
GreenPat
QLD
4107 posts
QLD, 4107 posts
23 Aug 2006 3:35pm
Yes, I'm a big advocate of taking measures and I do. When I move back to Perth it's going to be bicycle/public transport to work every day, etcetera etcetera, Australia and Australians in general are pretty good like that. Plus who can afford fuel these days? What, however, are we going to about China, India, developing countries everywhere and those idiot Americans. The savings we make with good practices, all 20 million of us, don't go very far towards making up for the couple of billion of them.

I think we need a new world order, hands up who wants to join my team for world domination? Once we control all the governments of the world we can make some serious progress against kite bans at beaches.
tobes
tobes
NSW
1000 posts
NSW, 1000 posts
23 Aug 2006 4:47pm
quote:
Originally posted by GreenPat

Australia and Australians in general are pretty good like that.


Hey Pat! Got to pull you up on that one, it's just not true. Aussies are ranked 3rd in the OECD for energy consumption per capita, and if you also include carbon emissions from agriculture and land clearing then we are the most polluting in the world!
www.eia.gov/emeu/cabs/ausenv.html
We are not paying the full price of our energy use, the cost of future damage. If we did, renewables would make economic sense. Carbon Tax. Thankfully the price of oil might be slowing us down.
In recent years our energy use has shifted from being mostly at night, to run heaters and lights, to being mostly in the daytime, to run fkn air conditioners! That's why they're talkin about nukes or more coal burning power stations, to run more fkn air con!

Anyway, it's getting hotter if we like it or not, you're spot on, "climate" just means the average weather, so "climate change" means the weather changes, so don't expect the wind to do the usual things. I think kitings the perfect sport for the future, think of all the new spots rising sea levels will open up, big lagoons, you don't need petrol, could be a good way of getting around...
dachopper
dachopper
WA
1802 posts
WA, 1802 posts
23 Aug 2006 2:58pm
quote:
Originally posted by Hammerhead

With climate change affecting the world, they say "Australia is getting hotter and drier" will this affect how windy or how often it's windy in the future?

I have noticed that in the last few years that windy days are getting less frequent on the East Coast (Newcastle at least), is it just me or has anyone else noticed this? I have talked with some professional seasoned fisherman and they recon the North Easters are nowhere near as frequent as they used to be, they said you could set your watch by them.

Or are there parts of Australia that are getting more wind now than they did 20-30 years ago?




Dude, Just go to WA for the summer and you'll never complain about not enough wind ever again! make sure you bring a 7's and 9's
marc
marc
WA
169 posts
WA, 169 posts
23 Aug 2006 5:50pm
hello,
i have been coming to wa for a few seasons now and the wind really has been weird.
if i am not wrong, it is either too windy or not windy enough.
comparing to 96 when i first came, we could use our 4,5 windsurf sail most of the days at 12.00 sharp.
now, nothing like that.
this summer in Geneva, switzerland, we had 12 degrees during july and august when it is supposed to be around 25-30 !
June was over 30 degrees and more sometimes.
i think the weather is getting more extrem.

marc-a.
waveslave
waveslave
WA
4263 posts
WA, 4263 posts
23 Aug 2006 6:40pm
Nature is in a constant state of flux.
That includes tomorrows weather.


They chop all the trees down when the housing development goes in.
Then the developer has the fucn audacity to name the cul-de-sacs with tree-species names,
as a cute reminder of their prior existence.
Is that some sort of sick joke ?
wdric
wdric
NSW
1625 posts
NSW, 1625 posts
23 Aug 2006 9:13pm
quote:
Originally posted by Hammerhead

I have noticed that in the last few years that windy days are getting less frequent on the East Coast (Newcastle at least),


I reckon at the rate I have been out in the last couple of months I would be lucky to get out 20 times a year.
My first summer season I seam to remember it was to windy a lot of the time on my 14 while learning, now I kinda know what I am doing 3 seasons later the wind is crap.

Lets hope they dig all that coal up in the hunter valley and it turns to one big desert sucking in all the seabreeze.
Hang on that sounds WA is

ric
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