Strange that the wind was pumping today at Garden Island, Safety Bay, and Roto but nothing at Melville. I wish I new more about the weather to not waste my time waiting for the wind to come (which it did the last few days, but not today).

Is it possible to deduce this based on the pressure charts and knowledge of weather/wind?

It had a lot of south in it today. Maybe Melville is even more sh!t with south in it? Also, the easterly felt warm and moist so that could help explain why the sea breeze didn't penetrate too far inland.

Swavek said..
Strange that the wind was pumping today at Garden Island, Safety Bay, and Roto but nothing at Melville. I wish I new more about the weather to not waste my time waiting for the wind to come (which it did the last few days, but not today).

Is it possible to deduce this based on the pressure charts and knowledge of weather/wind?

Looking at the bigger weather systems picture on Windy.com I find useful. Yesterday one system was feeding WA from the SW and another was feeding from the SE, converging on the coast line. This accounts for easterlies most of the day with a late and short submission by the easterlies to the system feeding the SWesterly, possibly bolstered by any seabreeze effect particular to WA. The conditions were pretty much what I expected for the coast but predicting inland is probably harder.
Regular study of the live wind/system conditions provided on Windy.com can provide a more complete forecast and the app actually provides computer generated for casting.

Now that Freres pie shop is gone from Applecross, I don't ever kite the river anymore.
Their pies were absolutely world class, god only knows how many kg of butter per square inch they had in them.

A basic rule of thumb is the more the morning wind is towards the East/NE (vs SE), the more difficult it will be for the seabreeze front to move inland, and therefore reach Melville.
Have in mind that the Easterlies will still be blowing but above the seabreeze front so there is really a battle between the two air masses.

But how strong the seabreeze is, and how quickly the front will move inland depends on so many parameters (like high clouds, wheat fields inland green, dry or harvested, temperature of the ocean vs inland...)
Late in the season, the seabreeze front may reach Scarborough and not even make it to Cottesloe, when on the other side, I have once witness a seabreze front reaching Meredin (few hundred kms inland) in the evening.
You get the best seabreeze in November/December when the ocean is still quite cold and the wheat crops still not harvested, with clear blue sky when you have high in the Great Southern Ocean Bight and on the Indian Ocean and a low forming in Australia, with the isobars kind of following the coast line, so the wind in teh morning is like SE in the SW seabreeze doesn't have to fight too much to move inland.
But the question whetehr it will reach Melville is into much more marginal conditions, which makes it quite tricky to predict... But you can only build your know how by recording the synoptic chart of the day, the overall conditions, and how good the seabreeze was in Melville.

This year, we are very lucky getting so much seabreeze That early in the season, but I have no clue why and why last season was so bad
El Nina??? Bushfire last year over east?

"Predict Wind" is a brilliant app.
Try it.

Nutdip said..
It had a lot of south in it today. Maybe Melville is even more sh!t with south in it? Also, the easterly felt warm and moist so that could help explain why the sea breeze didn't penetrate too far inland.

Warm
Moist
Penetrate
... all in one post from someone going by the name Nutdip....