batstonem said..
That southerly change was forecast for Northern NSW. It was on the bom forecast, and the marine wind maps and seabreeze. I think a trough came through.
You're right that it wasn't forecast for QLD but it was a lot stronger than predicted in NSW and probably went further north extending to Brisbane.
My limited observations regarding the forecasts currently are that in La Nina conditions the northerlys are a lot weaker than forecast (today a perfect example). The troughs come across Australia with too much moisture and there is a lot of clouds so less land heat, and water is warmer (less thermal gradient).
For some reason in a La Nina the SE'ers seem to be stronger than forecast. Especially the changes like yesterday.
Opposite in El Nino. Cranking NE'ers (While NSW and Vic burn) . Weak SE season in QLD.
Just some basic observations that have been well tested over the last 3 years of La Nina! If this one holds true, then Jan/Feb/Mar/April should have a lot of SE winds in QLD. As long as the rain holds off a bit....
Thanks mate, interesting. I've also noticed the NE'ers haven't been as strong or consistent here with the LaNina.
