Sell your house, retire TODAY!

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pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
29 Oct 2012 1:06am
Bought my first house in Sydney in 1988 as a young engineer.
I was making about average motza for my age and degree.

Paid about 4 times my pre-tax annual salary, was a nice abode.

Right now, for a young engineer of same age and average salary, the same house would be at least 7 times the yearly pre-tax intake.

So while I admire people who started early, the elbow grease speech, "in my days" and all the self-congratulary stuff, the financial context has changed, it was easier then. (Don't disagree with the Y gen not wanting to work for it though.)

Mark summarized in an earlier thread: "laws that allowed people to treat housing as an investment for tax writeoffs combined with the low interest rates meant all the baby boomers could go and buy multiple properties...". To which I would add: laws brought in by Hawke and Keating made it so that we're competing with overseas buyers on our own soil.
pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
29 Oct 2012 1:15am
FlySurfer said...
At Minute 39 it explains the reason for high prices in Oz.

I must be missing something.
I don't see at 39m how it explains that prices have risen specifically in Australia as compared to so many other places in the world.

If it was generally true, then Sydney and Melbourne would not consistently top the charts of the least affordable places in the world.
Underoath
Underoath
QLD
2434 posts
QLD, 2434 posts
29 Oct 2012 2:52am
pierrec45 said...
FlySurfer said...
At Minute 39 it explains the reason for high prices in Oz.

I must be missing something.
I don't see at 39m how it explains that prices have risen specifically in Australia as compared to so many other places in the world.

If it was generally true, then Sydney and Melbourne would not consistently top the charts of the least affordable places in the world.



I don't like these doccos that are simply one sided. Too much demonization.

I'd like to compare the living standards of the past 200 years without banks..

Yes, Banks create money by re-lending deposited funds, but the banks take on the liability and are also at the mercy of asset devaluation.

Thus there is regulation in Australia and many other countries as to the maximum ratio that banks can lend based on total deposits.

Funny how that wasn't talked about.

Biased doccos never tell a true picture.
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
29 Oct 2012 4:11am
FlySurfer said...
I guess none of you's (don't you mean ewes) watched that doco I posted last week... here it is again.


cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
29 Oct 2012 5:17am
pierrec45 said...
Bought my first house in Sydney in 1988 as a young engineer.
I was making about average motza for my age and degree.

Paid about 4 times my pre-tax annual salary, was a nice abode.

Right now, for a young engineer of same age and average salary, the same house would be at least 7 times the yearly pre-tax intake.



That is the true formula for calculating housing affordability.

Cost of abode -:- by annual income = x

X has been rising over the years.

Whether that is due to government policy (as Mark asserts) or not is debatable.

The availability of housing lots has certainly been affected by government policy (federal, state and local council) with arduous development requirements.

Example:- A developer subdivides X number of lots on the condition that he curbs and channels bitumen roads, runs underground water, power and phone lines and on top of that pays for head works for drainage, water, parks and local road improvements.

Then when a young married couple buys their "dream block" they have to pay another $6,000 or more in head works charges before they can have their house built.

The first home housing grants are a con job.

So then you go and ask a landlord what his annual nett %age return on his property is. If he says anything more than 4% he is lying, cheating or basing it on what he paid for it 20 years ago.

I do not advocate that buying houses is a good investment. I do advocate that buying the real estate upon which a house sits or can be sited MAY be a good investment.

Better if it has a commercial building on it, especially if it is readily releasable but vacant.

Sailhack
Sailhack
VIC
5000 posts
VIC, 5000 posts
29 Oct 2012 9:35am
Mark _australia said...
take a risk on shares, bonds, gold etc.



No thanks...after witnessing many friends & family losing their nest egg, I'll stick with my property, even if I'm the one to blame for killing the Aussie battler's dream.

I can understand the points re; the wealthy hoarding property in prosperous areas & ripping off tenants. As long as there is high demand - there will always be opportunists. No amount of government intervention will stop this. In the long-run they will out-price each other & the market will change again.

I'm surprised that the mining-boom hasn't been brought in to the argument? Without it, WA property wouldn't be where it is & homes would definitely be more affordable to the next gen.
kiteboy dave
kiteboy dave
QLD
6525 posts
QLD, 6525 posts
29 Oct 2012 8:53am
I know 3 or 4 singles and couples who can't afford to buy a first home and all the rest have managed it.

House prices were rising so fast that they couldn't keep their deposit savings at the same percentage of house prices, ie their deposit was getting smaller even though they were adding to it.

Funny thing though, all of them live in the inner city. And can't possibly conceive of buying something outside the inner city - 10 minutes on public transport or it's too far.

When you scratch a bit below the surface, ask them why do they need to be in the inner city? Because they are always out drinking, eating, going to gigs and generally wasting away the money they should be saving for a deposit.
FormulaNova
FormulaNova
WA
15106 posts
WA, 15106 posts
29 Oct 2012 7:38am
kiteboy dave said...
I know 3 or 4 singles and couples who can't afford to buy a first home and all the rest have managed it.

House prices were rising so fast that they couldn't keep their deposit savings at the same percentage of house prices, ie their deposit was getting smaller even though they were adding to it.

Funny thing though, all of them live in the inner city. And can't possibly conceive of buying something outside the inner city - 10 minutes on public transport or it's too far.

When you scratch a bit below the surface, ask them why do they need to be in the inner city? Because they are always out drinking, eating, going to gigs and generally wasting away the money they should be saving for a deposit.



I can sort of agree with you, but why should someone have to put their entire life and lifestyle on hold, just to buy a house or apartment to live in?

I saved a bit, and then bought a house in the suburbs, but I was very lucky with the timing and bought when interest rates were still low, but the craze in buying houses hadn't yet started.

I think that home owner-occupiers should be allowed to have the same tax deductions as investors AND CGT exemption. This would level the playing field a bit.

I find it sad that couples have to save a lot, and both work, just to buy a reasonable house.



FlySurfer
FlySurfer
NSW
4460 posts
NSW, 4460 posts
29 Oct 2012 11:40am
pierrec45 said...
I must be missing something.
I don't see at 39m how it explains that prices have risen specifically in Australia as compared to so many other places in the world.

If it was generally true, then Sydney and Melbourne would not consistently top the charts of the least affordable places in the world.


It's not specific to Australia, we experienced the same easy lending conditions as other countries and the added bonus of encouragement from the government with tax incentives like negative gearing, 1st home bonus...

But the banks provided the easy money, and activity contributed to real estate asset bubble, so as to grow their own balance sheet.

An example: I know two builders... one's small house/extension builder, the other a larger (platino.com.au).
Both were telling me they weren't able to get finance for new development projects, but had no trouble leveraging themselves to the hilt to buy existing properties.

So if you owned most of the property in a country, would try and make it as expensive as the economy would support?
Wineman
Wineman
NSW
1412 posts
NSW, 1412 posts
29 Oct 2012 12:00pm

My daughters' HECs debts are/were about the same as we paid for our first house on a big block

So much for encouraging a smarter educated country

I got free Uni - thanks Gough!
FlySurfer
FlySurfer
NSW
4460 posts
NSW, 4460 posts
29 Oct 2012 12:03pm
Underoath said...
I don't like these doccos that are simply one sided. Too much demonization.

I'd like to compare the living standards of the past 200 years without banks..

Yes, Banks create money by re-lending deposited funds, but the banks take on the liability and are also at the mercy of asset devaluation.

Thus there is regulation in Australia and many other countries as to the maximum ratio that banks can lend based on total deposits.

Funny how that wasn't talked about.

Biased doccos never tell a true picture.


I'm not sure you've got your facts right... maybe you should watch the doco.

Anyway:


Leverage Ratios of Selected Major Banks
(total assets / shareholders equity)

Bank
Leverage ratio

U.S. Federal Reserve
110.1
Mizuho Financial
37.2
Deutsche Bank
37.0
Credit Agricole
33.8
Credit Suisse
31.3
Barclays
28.9
UBS
27.7
Mitsubishi UFJ
25.7
BNP Paribas
25.3
Sumitomo Mitsui
24.8
Societe Generale
22.2
Lloyds Bank
21.8
Royal Bank of Scotland
19.1
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
18.4
National Australia Bank
17.3
HSBC Holdings
16.8
ANZ Banking Group
15.3
Westpac Banking Corporation
14.8
Bendigo & Adelaide Bank
13.9
UniCredit
13.7
Goldman Sachs
13.5
Macquarie Group
13.2
JP Morgan Chase
12.8
Intesa Sanpaolo
12.1
Reserve Bank of Australia
12.1
Citigroup
11.1
Bank of America
11.0
Wells Fargo
10.1

Sources: Forbes, WSJ, Bloomberg, Wren Research, Sep-2011

evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
29 Oct 2012 12:08pm
FlySurfer said...
pierrec45 said...
Currently you won't get 5.75% from the bank, as you state.
Term deposits is under 5%, no?


UBank USaver 5.16%
RAMS Saver pays a high bonus variable rate of 5.75% p.a
www.rams.com.au/savings-and-transactions/rams-saver/



Great. So all anyone needs is $500K in cash.

$25,000 for a family of 5 = $13/day each. Wow.
I'd better check with the Mrs. first because there are beggars make more than that.


_____________________________________________________________

Change in household income and costs, 2006-2011
Household income.................................................. 19.53pc
Mortgage...................................................................38.46pc
Rent............................................................................50pc
Electricity...................................................................72.67pc
Utilities.......................................................................67.3pc
Water & Sewage.....................................................75.94pc

evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
29 Oct 2012 12:15pm
kiteboy dave said...
Because they are always out drinking, eating, going to gigs and generally wasting away the money they should be saving for a deposit.


Yeah. I did that a lot when I was younger. Spent all my money on wine, women, drugs and holidays.
The rest I wasted.

Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
29 Oct 2012 12:27pm
evlPanda said...

_____________________________________________________________

Change in household income and costs, 2006-2011
Household income.................................................. 19.53pc
Mortgage...................................................................38.46pc
Rent............................................................................50pc
Electricity...................................................................72.67pc
Utilities.......................................................................67.3pc
Water & Sewage.....................................................75.94pc





Where did you get these figures from? If true and I think it is, it explains why Australia has turned into an expensive country.

2006 I was working in country NSW, paying $150 a week rent. Not that long ago but it seems like a lifetime ago. Earning not much less than I earn now. However $500 electricity bills were unheard of.

When we first moved to Sydney and bought our place our water/sewerage bill was $90. Today its about $160.

Its a rip off and we are so stupid as to keep voting in the politicians who perpetuate the system of both state and private monopolies, protected by laws and regulations, that grow fat and pay their executives millions at our expense.

kiteboy dave
kiteboy dave
QLD
6525 posts
QLD, 6525 posts
29 Oct 2012 1:31pm
evlPanda said...
kiteboy dave said...
Because they are always out drinking, eating, going to gigs and generally wasting away the money they should be saving for a deposit.


Yeah. I did that a lot when I was younger. Spent all my money on wine, women, drugs and holidays.
The rest I wasted.


Love it, and agree totally. Substitute work around the world for holidays and that's me too.

But if you're *still* doing that in your 30's then you can't expect a house too.
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